{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bf77ff3e-c7bd-4baa-a623-c4253b63af62", "symbol": "MAMO", "name": "Massimo Group Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -20.206, "architecture_energy": 12.469, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 72.048, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.32, "rotation_up": 30.42, "upward_expansion": 23.7, "deceleration": 44.06, "rotation_down": 21.58, "downward_expansion": 48.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.010327, 0.985229, 0.985233, 1.021407 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1.06, "trend_reference": 1.242283, "distance_from_trend": -0.146732, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.727327, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.611341, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -57.478295, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.027523, "excess_performance": -0.214977, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.146732, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.442544, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.611341, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051274, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.574783, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094249, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.027523, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.158294, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 232622, "relative_activity": 0.053808, "balance": 0.158294, "dry_up": 0.081338, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099583, "annualized_volatility": 0.595302, "from_high_reference": -0.810376, "from_low_reference": 0.247059 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.242283, "fair_value_reference": 2.727327, "structural_low": 0.85, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.0049, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.065854, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.014973, "worst_return": -0.069307, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.048137, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.264057, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.048137, "worst_return": -0.048137, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.013514, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.177419, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.716146, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.030211, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", 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"gate": "down", "direction": -60.475865, "energy": 51.486772, "activity_lines": [ 0.95388, 0.963771, 0.987471, 1.202204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.9349, "volume": 98507, "typical_volume": 4436446.0, "trend": 1.674617, "fair_value": 2.785304, "relative_strength": -65.288868, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.871676, "energy": 47.691937, "activity_lines": [ 0.94758, 0.956665, 0.981635, 1.147222 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.95, "volume": 378987, "typical_volume": 4382244.7, "trend": 1.530283, "fair_value": 2.77001, "relative_strength": -62.490196, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.584386, "energy": 48.821426, "activity_lines": [ 0.948013, 0.953671, 0.977172, 1.100473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.98, "volume": 259970, "typical_volume": 4353185.0, "trend": 1.426617, "fair_value": 2.755216, "relative_strength": -60.026515, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.443317, "energy": 41.065609, "activity_lines": [ 0.958473, 0.956858, 0.9759, 1.064971 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.02, "volume": 534991, "typical_volume": 4339392.9, "trend": 1.328617, "fair_value": 2.740993, "relative_strength": -57.921759, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.147143, "energy": 30.140656, "activity_lines": [ 0.9796, 0.967498, 0.978471, 1.038737 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.06, "volume": 232622, "typical_volume": 4323210.0, "trend": 1.242283, "fair_value": 2.727327, "relative_strength": -57.478295, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.205948, "energy": 12.468937, "activity_lines": [ 1.010327, 0.985229, 0.985233, 1.021407 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }