{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bf7a7372-8938-4879-b816-f350358560d6", "symbol": "ESMV", "name": "ISHARES ESG MSCI USA MIN VOL FACTOR ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 80.711, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 89.655, "architecture_energy": 71.821, "architecture_maturity": 39.439, "architecture_confidence": 70.855, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.74, "rotation_up": 68.87, "upward_expansion": 85.32, "deceleration": 61.29, "rotation_down": 19.69, "downward_expansion": 11.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.912, 30.683115, 30.239843, 29.88019 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 31.5825, "trend_reference": 29.510769, "distance_from_trend": 0.070203, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.069571, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.166716, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.185927, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.081614, "excess_performance": -0.10584, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.070203, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021783, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.166716, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063684, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.051859, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.102613, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.081614, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 11.048037, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1225, "relative_activity": 0.621591, "balance": 11.048037, "dry_up": 0.641888, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.014867, "annualized_volatility": 0.103023, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.144155 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.510769, "fair_value_reference": 27.069571, "structural_low": 27.603341, "invalidation": 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"2026-06-19", "close": 29.8533, "volume": 603, "typical_volume": 1997.75, "trend": 29.045623, "fair_value": 26.712202, "relative_strength": -14.215742, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.365507, "energy": 74.547519, "activity_lines": [ 29.958183, 29.758227, 29.350692, 29.215671 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 30.2004, "volume": 6944, "typical_volume": 2131.5, "trend": 29.093428, "fair_value": 26.760786, "relative_strength": -8.799026, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.800207, "energy": 70.116031, "activity_lines": [ 30.032322, 29.871145, 29.447447, 29.290173 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 30.7844, "volume": 1878, "typical_volume": 2044.7, "trend": 29.166155, "fair_value": 26.815382, "relative_strength": -7.510345, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.384084, "energy": 87.52378, "activity_lines": [ 30.286655, 30.071309, 29.595056, 29.399268 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 30.7947, "volume": 2311, "typical_volume": 2051.05, "trend": 29.237063, "fair_value": 26.867141, "relative_strength": -8.801858, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.674569, "energy": 89.824603, "activity_lines": [ 30.499556, 30.243117, 29.736754, 29.504335 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 30.3844, "volume": 1362, "typical_volume": 1978.7, "trend": 29.295733, "fair_value": 26.913479, "relative_strength": -5.85141, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.006461, "energy": 84.652417, "activity_lines": [ 30.513873, 30.312294, 29.832291, 29.578357 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.4228, "volume": 1109, "typical_volume": 2007.1, "trend": 29.345239, "fair_value": 26.961062, "relative_strength": -3.953585, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.306604, "energy": 80.834265, "activity_lines": [ 30.520327, 30.365657, 29.928153, 29.651071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.7339, "volume": 1364, "typical_volume": 2007.4, "trend": 29.419816, "fair_value": 27.013371, "relative_strength": -3.256927, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.864837, "energy": 66.376318, "activity_lines": [ 30.592513, 30.454064, 30.04841, 29.740662 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.5825, "volume": 1225, "typical_volume": 1970.75, "trend": 29.510769, "fair_value": 27.069571, "relative_strength": -5.185927, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.655274, "energy": 71.820691, "activity_lines": [ 30.912, 30.683115, 30.239843, 29.88019 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }