{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bf849537-5d9b-488b-904e-67ba28e3e421", "symbol": "XWD1", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI World Swap UCITS ETF 1D USD", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.953, "architecture_energy": 67.366, "architecture_maturity": 59.071, "architecture_confidence": 76.661, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.5, "rotation_up": 57.23, "upward_expansion": 81.89, "deceleration": 67.98, "rotation_down": 26.63, "downward_expansion": 10.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.815833, 29.637273, 29.336953, 28.813578 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 30.6075, "trend_reference": 28.222164, "distance_from_trend": 0.08452, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.886555, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.337357, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.434347, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.120048, "excess_performance": 0.068812, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.08452, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036717, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.337357, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011618, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.034343, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018069, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.120048, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.730451, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69905, "relative_activity": 0.992144, "balance": 4.730451, "dry_up": 0.761952, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016406, "annualized_volatility": 0.128581, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.237242 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.222164, "fair_value_reference": 22.886555, "structural_low": 25.370001, "invalidation": 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[ 29.406834, 29.214682, 28.408383, 28.026972 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 29.030001, "volume": 3955, "typical_volume": 79416.25, "trend": 27.653259, "fair_value": 22.414694, "relative_strength": 2.02318, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.310209, "energy": 58.543993, "activity_lines": [ 29.280334, 29.223, 28.51777, 28.121142 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 29.6, "volume": 1269, "typical_volume": 71350.0, "trend": 27.749861, "fair_value": 22.495633, "relative_strength": 2.346089, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.752599, "energy": 62.135816, "activity_lines": [ 29.363334, 29.321819, 28.673334, 28.246738 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 29.6875, "volume": 40976, "typical_volume": 69099.95, "trend": 27.854505, "fair_value": 22.573719, "relative_strength": 4.341689, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.237502, "energy": 65.886125, "activity_lines": [ 29.477667, 29.409273, 28.826572, 28.371747 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 29.415001, "volume": 25579, "typical_volume": 67895.65, "trend": 27.945436, "fair_value": 22.649475, "relative_strength": 2.333969, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.382276, "energy": 59.88592, "activity_lines": [ 29.476667, 29.426, 28.943477, 28.472424 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.3675, "volume": 6663, "typical_volume": 63589.45, "trend": 28.025524, "fair_value": 22.724003, "relative_strength": 0.86137, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.181374, "energy": 58.137684, "activity_lines": [ 29.452667, 29.425319, 29.047084, 28.56417 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.395, "volume": 112597, "typical_volume": 67524.0, "trend": 28.111159, "fair_value": 22.800609, "relative_strength": -0.302845, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.935195, "energy": 51.916903, "activity_lines": [ 29.444334, 29.421728, 29.141619, 28.652523 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.6075, "volume": 69905, "typical_volume": 70458.5, "trend": 28.222164, "fair_value": 22.886555, "relative_strength": 3.434347, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.952771, "energy": 67.365836, "activity_lines": [ 29.815833, 29.637273, 29.336953, 28.813578 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }