{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bf8bc405-766a-43fb-b6f9-8dc435f18bad",
    "symbol": "IGBH",
    "name": "ISHARES US ETF TRUST INTEREST RATE HEDGED LNG TRM CORP BD ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 10.299,
    "architecture_energy": 20.261,
    "architecture_maturity": 58.81,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.978,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 63.06,
        "rotation_up": 16.66,
        "upward_expansion": 46.28,
        "deceleration": 87.62,
        "rotation_down": 37.43,
        "downward_expansion": 26.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        24.292069,
        24.349062,
        24.373485,
        24.283613
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 24.37,
    "trend_reference": 24.213042,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.006482,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 22.399155,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.087987,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -9.581586,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.005725,
    "excess_performance": -0.1199,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006482,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006695,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087987,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020486,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.095816,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013182,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005725,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.40928,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 425240,
      "relative_activity": 0.991789,
      "balance": 1.40928,
      "dry_up": 1.671309,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.006136,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.044457,
      "from_high_reference": -0.012854,
      "from_low_reference": 0.054394
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 24.213042,
      "fair_value_reference": 22.399155,
      "structural_low": 23.440323,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.008115,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007863,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.027547,
        "worst_return": -0.025846,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.030647,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.075165,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.05672,
        "worst_return": 0.008566,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.060393,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.101837,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.076006,
        "worst_return": 0.036621,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.104437,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.129468,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.143265,
        "worst_return": 0.06561,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
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        "return": 0.020059,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.02238,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.03153,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018612,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012026,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 381060,
        "typical_volume": 345971.2,
        "trend": 24.203083,
        "fair_value": 22.311615,
        "relative_strength": -6.882721,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.932957,
        "energy": 27.30808,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.379705,
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          24.362591,
          24.271145
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.167111,
        "volume": 268453,
        "typical_volume": 343040.05,
        "trend": 24.203801,
        "fair_value": 22.339847,
        "relative_strength": -6.692562,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 8.663577,
        "energy": 22.080252,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.295481,
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          24.268824
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 24.271688,
        "volume": 1791613,
        "typical_volume": 417541.35,
        "trend": 24.208659,
        "fair_value": 22.368867,
        "relative_strength": -7.05045,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 9.32891,
        "energy": 23.076982,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.270838,
          24.359515,
          24.363583,
          24.273204
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 24.37,
        "volume": 425240,
        "typical_volume": 428760.65,
        "trend": 24.213042,
        "fair_value": 22.399155,
        "relative_strength": -9.581586,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 10.299279,
        "energy": 20.261413,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.292069,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}