{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bfab63f0-4db2-4fd4-97a1-692df6fbb681", "symbol": "300633", "name": "SonoScape Medical Corp.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.338, "architecture_energy": 41.566, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.866, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.26, "rotation_up": 27.63, "upward_expansion": 19.18, "deceleration": 46.59, "rotation_down": 40.11, "downward_expansion": 69.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.579333, 19.319636, 20.391204, 21.727206 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 20.33, "trend_reference": 23.611493, "distance_from_trend": -0.138979, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.307382, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.389625, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.380487, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.267387, "excess_performance": -0.274787, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.138979, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103344, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.389625, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049462, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.273805, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078636, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.267387, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.274978, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27669120, "relative_activity": 1.253376, "balance": 0.274978, "dry_up": 1.494078, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074421, "annualized_volatility": 0.341211, "from_high_reference": -0.461171, "from_low_reference": 0.135754 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.611493, "fair_value_reference": 33.307382, "structural_low": 17.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.000683, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.013916, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.243212, "worst_return": -0.204082, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.022841, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.045189, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.464182, "worst_return": -0.245507, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.069848, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.017098, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.346422, "worst_return": -0.267632, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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20.24, "volume": 25834305, "typical_volume": 21531065.65, "trend": 23.814493, "fair_value": 33.47832, "relative_strength": -24.891495, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.57327, "energy": 52.839431, "activity_lines": [ 19.185333, 19.127849, 20.552798, 21.952012 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.33, "volume": 27669120, "typical_volume": 22075678.75, "trend": 23.611493, "fair_value": 33.307382, "relative_strength": -27.380487, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.337571, "energy": 41.566216, "activity_lines": [ 19.579333, 19.319636, 20.391204, 21.727206 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }