{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bfae04c4-21ea-4c12-8c3d-71361108f1f2", "symbol": "002982", "name": "Hunan Xiangjia Animal Husbandry Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.44, "architecture_energy": 40.898, "architecture_maturity": 42.431, "architecture_confidence": 89.21, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.85, "rotation_up": 23.98, "upward_expansion": 5.85, "deceleration": 55.23, "rotation_down": 44.05, "downward_expansion": 74.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.67, 11.723636, 12.280503, 12.743403 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 11.83, "trend_reference": 13.289084, "distance_from_trend": -0.109796, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.54658, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.126717, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.143943, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.19481, "excess_performance": -0.20221, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.109796, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056733, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.126717, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.155136, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.181439, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032193, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.19481, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.479079, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17313732, "relative_activity": 0.775437, "balance": 0.479079, "dry_up": 0.876119, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084567, "annualized_volatility": 0.374822, "from_high_reference": -0.309904, "from_low_reference": 0.104575 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.289084, "fair_value_reference": 13.54658, "structural_low": 10.71, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.002291, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": -0.011057, "regime_survival": 0.76, "best_return": 0.337129, "worst_return": -0.206083, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.010636, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.010364, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.365633, "worst_return": -0.286636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.020904, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.017562, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.288091, "worst_return": -0.139264, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.168006, "energy": 67.314605, "activity_lines": [ 11.824, 12.165253, 12.844326, 13.215192 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.94, "volume": 23980032, "typical_volume": 26396832.3, "trend": 13.510727, "fair_value": 13.658581, "relative_strength": -16.581468, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.887165, "energy": 48.319227, "activity_lines": [ 11.828, 12.043521, 12.709779, 13.110645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.17, "volume": 21640484, "typical_volume": 25142364.95, "trend": 13.422421, "fair_value": 13.619035, "relative_strength": -21.510997, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.664968, "energy": 48.596321, "activity_lines": [ 11.661333, 11.826599, 12.514957, 12.959631 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.59, "volume": 15312692, "typical_volume": 22856053.35, "trend": 13.349107, "fair_value": 13.582565, "relative_strength": -16.439158, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.293865, "energy": 43.912577, "activity_lines": [ 11.654, 11.737273, 12.378561, 12.84141 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.83, "volume": 17313732, "typical_volume": 22327710.55, "trend": 13.289084, "fair_value": 13.54658, "relative_strength": -18.143943, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.439516, "energy": 40.897649, "activity_lines": [ 11.67, 11.723636, 12.280503, 12.743403 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }