{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bfb8c4d6-29a1-4568-b636-9c90a3f72afa",
    "symbol": "PEPB34",
    "name": "PepsiCo, Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -59.455,
    "architecture_energy": 50.422,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.928,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.404,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.94,
        "rotation_up": 19.48,
        "upward_expansion": 7.89,
        "deceleration": 48.05,
        "rotation_down": 55.8,
        "downward_expansion": 78.89
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        47.060667,
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        48.55011,
        49.863026
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 47.400002,
    "trend_reference": 51.475857,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.07918,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 54.134544,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.124404,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.065875,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.199344,
    "excess_performance": -0.142295,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.07918,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025543,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124404,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038869,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.120659,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061279,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.199344,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.377634,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 17179,
      "relative_activity": 1.247151,
      "balance": 0.377634,
      "dry_up": 2.661184,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.044358,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.176809,
      "from_high_reference": -0.2068,
      "from_low_reference": 0.048905
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 51.475857,
      "fair_value_reference": 54.134544,
      "structural_low": 45.189999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.002534,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025765,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
        "best_return": 0.136243,
        "worst_return": -0.098919,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.017896,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029376,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.106929,
        "worst_return": -0.136225,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.041683,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.171126,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.039813,
        "worst_return": -0.090791,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.159601,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "best_return": 0.163222,
        "worst_return": -0.112916,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.027931,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003623,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.019667,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-01-17",
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        "return": -0.038212,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "return": 0.035061,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "relative_strength": -14.897567,
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        "direction": -39.867046,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 18754.9,
        "trend": 52.938464,
        "fair_value": 54.710172,
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        "energy": 46.486801,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 18656.9,
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        "relative_strength": -15.359982,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Structural failure",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 18420.1,
        "trend": 52.781319,
        "fair_value": 54.611393,
        "relative_strength": -11.80512,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 68.312956,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 2308,
        "typical_volume": 17727.95,
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        "relative_strength": -12.847577,
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.154684,
        "energy": 65.52996,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 50.0,
        "volume": 121,
        "typical_volume": 14445.0,
        "trend": 52.404028,
        "fair_value": 54.440925,
        "relative_strength": -11.249343,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 46.889999,
        "volume": 27434,
        "typical_volume": 15759.15,
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        "fair_value": 54.380969,
        "relative_strength": -17.990919,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -76.841037,
        "energy": 52.449914,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 46.610001,
        "volume": 72309,
        "typical_volume": 19161.3,
        "trend": 51.906198,
        "fair_value": 54.314896,
        "relative_strength": -15.894665,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.262977,
        "energy": 54.369619,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.795333,
          48.303128,
          49.493096,
          50.760459
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 46.599998,
        "volume": 36842,
        "typical_volume": 20739.3,
        "trend": 51.700483,
        "fair_value": 54.249239,
        "relative_strength": -15.457643,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.820425,
        "energy": 58.155453,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.265333,
          47.91513,
          49.090894,
          50.418124
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 47.25,
        "volume": 20297,
        "typical_volume": 13153.35,
        "trend": 51.553537,
        "fair_value": 54.192071,
        "relative_strength": -15.585107,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.822527,
        "energy": 59.370793,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.084,
          47.707379,
          48.791264,
          50.130996
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 47.400002,
        "volume": 17179,
        "typical_volume": 13774.6,
        "trend": 51.475857,
        "fair_value": 54.134544,
        "relative_strength": -12.065875,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.454707,
        "energy": 50.422143,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.060667,
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          48.55011,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}