{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bfb9492c-8c0f-489c-bf1d-40e8429392fc", "symbol": "BILIN", "name": "Bilibili Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.159, "architecture_energy": 46.363, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.428, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.12, "rotation_up": 28.0, "upward_expansion": 27.0, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 36.5, "downward_expansion": 65.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 323.119999, 315.814543, 328.93857, 365.949676 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 324.0, "trend_reference": 418.645666, "distance_from_trend": -0.226076, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 363.272499, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.108108, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.249064, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.421429, "excess_performance": -0.366762, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.226076, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120453, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.108108, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.165143, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.292491, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04128, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.421429, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.018727, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.018727, "dry_up": 2.078983, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038557, "annualized_volatility": 0.439413, "from_high_reference": -0.431579, "from_low_reference": 0.095335 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 418.645666, "fair_value_reference": 363.272499, 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"2026-07-03", "close": 295.799988, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 74.95, "trend": 444.685664, "fair_value": 362.280191, "relative_strength": -37.581568, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.464102, "energy": 91.320181, "activity_lines": [ 302.266663, 314.145452, 361.176904, 402.837956 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 295.799988, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 74.95, "trend": 438.685664, "fair_value": 362.445576, "relative_strength": -36.587548, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.175044, "energy": 86.74481, "activity_lines": [ 298.613326, 307.858178, 350.125617, 393.232428 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 327.0, "volume": 35, "typical_volume": 76.7, "trend": 433.725664, "fair_value": 362.81096, "relative_strength": -29.605909, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.309547, "energy": 68.168855, "activity_lines": [ 306.906661, 308.847269, 343.303855, 386.026902 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 327.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 76.7, "trend": 428.765665, "fair_value": 363.144294, "relative_strength": -28.923755, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.736625, "energy": 63.967632, "activity_lines": [ 314.666663, 310.872724, 337.591617, 379.141375 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 324.0, "volume": 881, "typical_volume": 120.75, "trend": 423.705665, "fair_value": 363.208396, "relative_strength": -29.691521, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.394082, "energy": 58.635924, "activity_lines": [ 319.759998, 313.389088, 332.703189, 372.3823 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 324.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 110.15, "trend": 418.645666, "fair_value": 363.272499, "relative_strength": -29.249064, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.159129, "energy": 46.363303, "activity_lines": [ 323.119999, 315.814543, 328.93857, 365.949676 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }