{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bfc11d8a-c2f8-4605-b298-5f38456a8a3a", "symbol": "1272", "name": "Datang Environment Industry Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "HKG", "country": "HK", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^HSI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -18.383, "architecture_energy": 17.297, "architecture_maturity": 77.792, "architecture_confidence": 66.09, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.91, "rotation_up": 29.05, "upward_expansion": 24.86, "deceleration": 52.16, "rotation_down": 18.91, "downward_expansion": 46.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.054, 1.043564, 1.038236, 1.072486 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1.05, "trend_reference": 1.112788, "distance_from_trend": -0.056424, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.920432, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.140769, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.314137, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.16, "excess_performance": -0.144709, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.056424, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031804, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.140769, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007683, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.093141, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036422, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.16, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.598174, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 289000, "relative_activity": 0.480973, "balance": 0.598174, "dry_up": 1.257354, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046099, "annualized_volatility": 0.282001, "from_high_reference": -0.23913, "from_low_reference": 0.082474 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.112788, "fair_value_reference": 0.920432, "structural_low": 0.97, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.45, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": 0.012077, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.228572, "worst_return": -0.054055, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.082349, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.127602, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.211897, "worst_return": -0.066668, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.014732, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.083829, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.099692, "worst_return": -0.0625, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.07605, 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0.916438, "relative_strength": -8.049915, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.450423, "energy": 25.37987, "activity_lines": [ 1.052667, 1.034259, 1.043938, 1.080867 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 1.05, "volume": 1161000, "typical_volume": 633215.0, "trend": 1.113788, "fair_value": 0.918435, "relative_strength": -6.532801, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.06514, "energy": 22.375452, "activity_lines": [ 1.053333, 1.039276, 1.040635, 1.076601 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 1.05, "volume": 289000, "typical_volume": 600865.0, "trend": 1.112788, "fair_value": 0.920432, "relative_strength": -9.314137, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.383014, "energy": 17.297367, "activity_lines": [ 1.054, 1.043564, 1.038236, 1.072486 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }