{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bfd6027f-aced-4e09-ac32-22956d814253", "symbol": "300399", "name": "Jiangxi Tianli Technology, INC.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.108, "architecture_energy": 55.314, "architecture_maturity": 55.953, "architecture_confidence": 84.874, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.85, "rotation_up": 14.61, "upward_expansion": 8.77, "deceleration": 47.08, "rotation_down": 63.17, "downward_expansion": 79.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.809333, 17.457091, 18.72726, 19.931792 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 17.57, "trend_reference": 21.946495, "distance_from_trend": -0.199417, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 19.610622, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.104057, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.305153, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.335225, "excess_performance": -0.342625, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.199417, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105168, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.104057, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.297655, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.313052, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00463, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.335225, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.598725, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21300949, "relative_activity": 1.035198, "balance": 0.598725, "dry_up": 1.205705, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.128882, "annualized_volatility": 0.45073, "from_high_reference": -0.547515, "from_low_reference": 0.184761 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.946495, "fair_value_reference": 19.610622, "structural_low": 14.83, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.015962, "positive_rate": 0.565217, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": 0.003371, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.29036, "worst_return": -0.163072, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.037483, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.055424, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.8125, "worst_return": -0.183606, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.105449, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.012947, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.167969, "worst_return": -0.238381, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"2026-07-03", "close": 19.84, "volume": 10113485, "typical_volume": 20984046.65, "trend": 23.350162, "fair_value": 19.483862, "relative_strength": -35.103463, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.551364, "energy": 54.765821, "activity_lines": [ 19.18, 19.748723, 20.602709, 21.861822 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 18.25, "volume": 26637163, "typical_volume": 20894762.4, "trend": 23.119828, "fair_value": 19.513478, "relative_strength": -36.928638, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.33618, "energy": 50.821739, "activity_lines": [ 18.918, 19.352497, 20.268305, 21.53278 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.91, "volume": 27834267, "typical_volume": 21132422.75, "trend": 22.818162, "fair_value": 19.531723, "relative_strength": -38.386197, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.831802, "energy": 59.295734, "activity_lines": [ 17.934667, 18.598491, 19.753044, 21.06763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.1, "volume": 25366329, "typical_volume": 20796838.2, "trend": 22.481495, "fair_value": 19.548342, "relative_strength": -40.699554, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.270257, "energy": 67.023183, "activity_lines": [ 16.836, 17.824116, 19.218354, 20.569684 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.23, "volume": 24736125, "typical_volume": 20975741.95, "trend": 22.205828, "fair_value": 19.577151, "relative_strength": -30.231728, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.247704, "energy": 64.397255, "activity_lines": [ 16.708, 17.567763, 18.939379, 20.230877 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.57, "volume": 21300949, "typical_volume": 20576685.25, "trend": 21.946495, "fair_value": 19.610622, "relative_strength": -31.305153, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.108243, "energy": 55.314073, "activity_lines": [ 16.809333, 17.457091, 18.72726, 19.931792 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }