{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bfd868fd-b97f-42cd-8e39-f90ad549f7ab", "symbol": "SOUTHBANK", "name": "The South Indian Bank Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.687, "architecture_energy": 41.995, "architecture_maturity": 35.338, "architecture_confidence": 72.282, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.38, "rotation_up": 46.43, "upward_expansion": 76.91, "deceleration": 68.19, "rotation_down": 24.82, "downward_expansion": 5.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.481333, 46.291999, 44.520238, 43.07972 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 47.169998, "trend_reference": 41.853333, "distance_from_trend": 0.127031, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.471686, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.547994, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 21.809892, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.142961, "excess_performance": 0.18667, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.127031, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058363, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.547994, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101766, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.218099, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009424, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.142961, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.286161, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 31519855, "relative_activity": 0.508668, "balance": 1.286161, "dry_up": 1.118006, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066584, "annualized_volatility": 0.25585, "from_high_reference": -0.054709, "from_low_reference": 0.67805 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.853333, "fair_value_reference": 30.471686, "structural_low": 33.380001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.015606, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.020643, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.229684, "worst_return": -0.183024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.009011, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.028565, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.45102, "worst_return": -0.082126, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.112245, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.023137, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.432546, "worst_return": -0.144928, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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45.264545, 43.041904, 42.031978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 46.52, "volume": 114886903, "typical_volume": 65336402.5, "trend": 41.392, "fair_value": 30.120722, "relative_strength": 26.472868, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.382289, "energy": 40.182274, "activity_lines": [ 45.735999, 45.686181, 43.543428, 42.381914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.700001, "volume": 45392074, "typical_volume": 64534669.55, "trend": 41.662, "fair_value": 30.29917, "relative_strength": 22.6245, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.672034, "energy": 38.787276, "activity_lines": [ 46.073333, 46.000727, 44.030143, 42.724365 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.169998, "volume": 31519855, "typical_volume": 61965419.85, "trend": 41.853333, "fair_value": 30.471686, "relative_strength": 21.809892, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.687084, "energy": 41.995041, "activity_lines": [ 46.481333, 46.291999, 44.520238, 43.07972 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }