{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bfe28650-52b7-4a66-b36d-0020867a933f",
    "symbol": "AISP",
    "name": "Airship AI Holdings Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -61.13,
    "architecture_energy": 64.062,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.101,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.902,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.12,
        "rotation_up": 10.06,
        "upward_expansion": 13.64,
        "deceleration": 37.96,
        "rotation_down": 71.63,
        "downward_expansion": 89.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.972667,
        2.139455,
        2.335286,
        2.392108
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 2.07,
    "trend_reference": 2.551667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.188766,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 4.607153,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.550699,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -45.719888,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.241758,
    "excess_performance": -0.429212,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.188766,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114568,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.550699,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030857,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.457199,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017571,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.241758,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.5184,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2129343,
      "relative_activity": 0.795518,
      "balance": 0.5184,
      "dry_up": 0.687131,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.212341,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.71661,
      "from_high_reference": -0.7125,
      "from_low_reference": 0.228487
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.551667,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.607153,
      "structural_low": 1.685,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.027497,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032894,
        "regime_survival": 0.8125,
        "best_return": 3.822695,
        "worst_return": -0.78402,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.106227,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.109693,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 1.231579,
        "worst_return": -0.258152,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.179348,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.529338,
        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -46.780972,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 4.831896,
        "relative_strength": -47.338744,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 30.956955,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.0,
        "volume": 1593373,
        "typical_volume": 2698298.65,
        "trend": 2.658667,
        "fair_value": 4.776063,
        "relative_strength": -49.009629,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.956332,
        "energy": 50.144797,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.204,
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          2.47519,
          2.524108
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.01,
        "volume": 1335418,
        "typical_volume": 2652665.35,
        "trend": 2.631333,
        "fair_value": 4.719973,
        "relative_strength": -46.629623,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.815909,
        "energy": 66.117499,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.097333,
          2.339636,
          2.431476,
          2.482258
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.75,
        "volume": 2298772,
        "typical_volume": 2694742.0,
        "trend": 2.586,
        "fair_value": 4.662537,
        "relative_strength": -52.722727,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.2264,
        "energy": 74.075655,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.963333,
          2.203091,
          2.366048,
          2.425398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.07,
        "volume": 2129343,
        "typical_volume": 2676675.3,
        "trend": 2.551667,
        "fair_value": 4.607153,
        "relative_strength": -45.719888,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.130032,
        "energy": 64.061918,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.972667,
          2.139455,
          2.335286,
          2.392108
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}