{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bff875e7-2886-4bbd-bf32-3920f1e77819", "symbol": "300681", "name": "Zhuhai Enpower Electric Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -39.067, "architecture_energy": 74.099, "architecture_maturity": 24.093, "architecture_confidence": 71.832, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.94, "rotation_up": 16.02, "upward_expansion": 26.01, "deceleration": 43.01, "rotation_down": 73.02, "downward_expansion": 65.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.029334, 23.971603, 27.00892, 27.009128 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 21.48, "trend_reference": 26.889205, "distance_from_trend": -0.201166, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.290727, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.077745, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.511677, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.142173, "excess_performance": -0.149572, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.201166, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012416, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.077745, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.514947, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.255117, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.188925, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.142173, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.625885, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47294963, "relative_activity": 0.934043, "balance": 0.625885, "dry_up": 0.993403, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.15082, "annualized_volatility": 0.596064, "from_high_reference": -0.394968, "from_low_reference": 0.140127 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.889205, "fair_value_reference": 23.290727, "structural_low": 18.84, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.044042, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.02096, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.124265, "worst_return": -0.221526, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.073823, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.113203, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.281478, "worst_return": -0.149037, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.005969, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.15222, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.250492, "worst_return": -0.307389, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"close": 21.51, "volume": 52272037, "typical_volume": 47855816.75, "trend": 27.312538, "fair_value": 23.300875, "relative_strength": -24.578464, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.884811, "energy": 41.635651, "activity_lines": [ 26.380667, 28.60295, 29.17758, 28.330157 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.610001, "volume": 55351263, "typical_volume": 48574161.0, "trend": 27.164871, "fair_value": 23.28753, "relative_strength": -30.818334, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -50.151647, "energy": 67.719356, "activity_lines": [ 23.625334, 26.66647, 28.368265, 27.833219 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.92, "volume": 46284157, "typical_volume": 49444497.5, "trend": 27.008538, "fair_value": 23.280966, "relative_strength": -27.974131, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.216389, "energy": 74.59799, "activity_lines": [ 21.786, 25.053709, 27.607426, 27.365808 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.48, "volume": 47294963, "typical_volume": 50634653.9, "trend": 26.889205, "fair_value": 23.290727, "relative_strength": -25.511677, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.066513, "energy": 74.099274, "activity_lines": [ 21.029334, 23.971603, 27.00892, 27.009128 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }