{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c007ef0d-9f08-4ded-9000-15267928c500", "symbol": "GMRAIRPORT", "name": "GMR Airports Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 84.331, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.164, "architecture_energy": 30.681, "architecture_maturity": 67.207, "architecture_confidence": 88.345, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.14, "rotation_up": 32.61, "upward_expansion": 64.56, "deceleration": 88.1, "rotation_down": 27.01, "downward_expansion": 16.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 107.474, 108.345274, 105.154334, 102.395957 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 107.199997, "trend_reference": 99.510667, "distance_from_trend": 0.077271, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 86.388718, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.240903, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 10.342153, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.099374, "excess_performance": 0.143083, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.077271, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019531, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.240903, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003783, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.103422, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019812, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.099374, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.612402, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34082191, "relative_activity": 0.547683, "balance": 0.612402, "dry_up": 1.044198, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047338, "annualized_volatility": 0.251548, "from_high_reference": -0.072985, "from_low_reference": 0.274521 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 99.510667, "fair_value_reference": 86.388718, "structural_low": 84.110001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.014185, "positive_rate": 0.441176, "directional_follow_through": 0.441176, "median_excess_return": -0.016105, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.375594, "worst_return": -0.135574, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.026035, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.000201, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.264706, "worst_return": -0.097902, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.030063, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.056011, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.474576, "worst_return": -0.15662, "sufficient": true }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 109.955336, 108.505638, 104.049239, 101.496603 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 105.290001, "volume": 52346603, "typical_volume": 63944129.3, "trend": 99.267, "fair_value": 86.049295, "relative_strength": 9.581736, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.696513, "energy": 39.980156, "activity_lines": [ 108.291335, 108.337638, 104.549001, 101.884151 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 107.199997, "volume": 34082191, "typical_volume": 62229798.1, "trend": 99.510667, "fair_value": 86.388718, "relative_strength": 10.342153, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.163612, "energy": 30.680803, "activity_lines": [ 107.474, 108.345274, 105.154334, 102.395957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }