{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c02bd728-2b25-43ec-965f-ab8f9449fdd9", "symbol": "PREC", "name": "Precise Biometrics AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -78.125, "architecture_energy": 86.174, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.69, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.19, "rotation_up": 8.11, "upward_expansion": 19.4, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 82.52, "downward_expansion": 95.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.028277, 1.350628, 1.538911, 1.647323 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.852, "trend_reference": 1.811569, "distance_from_trend": -0.52969, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.711052, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.685731, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -65.693027, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.612727, "excess_performance": -0.674222, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.52969, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.139029, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.685731, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.353636, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.65693, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.263182, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.612727, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.48506, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4010468, "relative_activity": 2.259803, "balance": 0.48506, "dry_up": 2.370064, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.42043, "annualized_volatility": 0.886385, "from_high_reference": -0.76516, "from_low_reference": 0.014286 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.811569, "fair_value_reference": 2.711052, "structural_low": 0.84, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": -0.064862, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.070057, "regime_survival": 0.85, "best_return": 0.699507, "worst_return": -0.416774, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.146884, "positive_rate": 0.066667, "directional_follow_through": 0.933333, "median_excess_return": -0.164912, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.246883, "worst_return": -0.601221, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.25986, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.371621, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.360887, "worst_return": -0.537802, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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14.572592, "activity_lines": [ 1.8916, 1.854782, 1.819319, 1.874731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.41608, "volume": 1094405, "typical_volume": 1055722.75, "trend": 1.948203, "fair_value": 2.718122, "relative_strength": -44.135689, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.39615, "energy": 26.735277, "activity_lines": [ 1.73256, 1.781396, 1.778112, 1.83859 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.012, "volume": 7177596, "typical_volume": 1390330.95, "trend": 1.902603, "fair_value": 2.716404, "relative_strength": -59.864967, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.446241, "energy": 67.025802, "activity_lines": [ 1.457088, 1.641486, 1.70225, 1.77819 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.879, "volume": 4542120, "typical_volume": 1596906.25, "trend": 1.856836, "fair_value": 2.713872, "relative_strength": -64.763666, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.053647, "energy": 80.656226, "activity_lines": [ 1.208483, 1.491321, 1.61914, 1.712151 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.852, "volume": 4010468, "typical_volume": 1774697.95, "trend": 1.811569, "fair_value": 2.711052, "relative_strength": -65.693027, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.12465, "energy": 86.174342, "activity_lines": [ 1.028277, 1.350628, 1.538911, 1.647323 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }