{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c03574c7-0e1d-4aca-914e-ef29dafe012a",
    "symbol": "CHR",
    "name": "Chorus Aviation Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.958,
    "architecture_energy": 72.78,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.578,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.226,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.67,
        "rotation_up": 70.47,
        "upward_expansion": 84.67,
        "deceleration": 50.1,
        "rotation_down": 12.2,
        "downward_expansion": 13.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        25.800667,
        25.18422,
        24.611021,
        24.133149
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 28.65,
    "trend_reference": 23.489006,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.21972,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 19.659993,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.457274,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 12.903288,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.352636,
    "excess_performance": 0.232215,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.21972,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048334,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.457274,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.263889,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.129033,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.185789,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.352636,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 6.669807,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 543800,
      "relative_activity": 3.86881,
      "balance": 6.669807,
      "dry_up": 1.791406,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045835,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.315451,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.483984
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 23.489006,
      "fair_value_reference": 19.659993,
      "structural_low": 20.606264,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.006384,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009132,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.069537,
        "worst_return": -0.07767,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.011494,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013367,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.122597,
        "worst_return": -0.13546,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.040684,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03818,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.185313,
        "worst_return": -0.150641,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.136697,
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        "worst_return": -0.278846,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": 0.119845,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "relative_strength": -5.428594,
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 196605.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 22.431194,
        "fair_value": 19.424935,
        "relative_strength": -3.048915,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 190610.0,
        "trend": 22.514066,
        "fair_value": 19.449315,
        "relative_strength": -2.439316,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 19.507879,
        "relative_strength": -0.923472,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 45.443207,
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          23.31215
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 160840.0,
        "trend": 22.829112,
        "fair_value": 19.524246,
        "relative_strength": -0.44311,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 24.02,
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        "typical_volume": 145035.0,
        "trend": 22.915825,
        "fair_value": 19.543179,
        "relative_strength": -3.273605,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.951474,
        "energy": 39.92321,
        "activity_lines": [
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          23.522168
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 24.309999,
        "volume": 164300,
        "typical_volume": 134775.0,
        "trend": 23.029045,
        "fair_value": 19.553822,
        "relative_strength": -1.625339,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.779257,
        "energy": 33.019497,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.398,
          24.386998,
          23.984946,
          23.612115
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.24,
        "volume": 87200,
        "typical_volume": 127870.0,
        "trend": 23.138942,
        "fair_value": 19.567987,
        "relative_strength": -1.872805,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.447776,
        "energy": 24.370396,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.309333,
          24.374939,
          24.050384,
          23.690241
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 24.6,
        "volume": 211900,
        "typical_volume": 126415.0,
        "trend": 23.245978,
        "fair_value": 19.602995,
        "relative_strength": 0.2613,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.300809,
        "energy": 23.349458,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.381333,
          24.417657,
          24.143371,
          23.784503
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.65,
        "volume": 543800,
        "typical_volume": 140560.0,
        "trend": 23.489006,
        "fair_value": 19.659993,
        "relative_strength": 12.903288,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.957593,
        "energy": 72.780113,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.800667,
          25.18422,
          24.611021,
          24.133149
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}