{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c03ade82-c718-4f15-92b9-78bea691415c",
    "symbol": "ESSITY-A",
    "name": "Essity AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.075,
    "architecture_energy": 54.946,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.982,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.597,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.08,
        "rotation_up": 60.09,
        "upward_expansion": 81.73,
        "deceleration": 62.0,
        "rotation_down": 20.62,
        "downward_expansion": 8.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 281.5,
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    "distance_from_trend": 0.076627,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 255.683415,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.100971,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.145922,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.049089,
    "excess_performance": -0.012405,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076627,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027404,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100971,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128238,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021459,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090137,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049089,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.032076,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.65747,
      "balance": 1.032076,
      "dry_up": 0.959984,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033611,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.181196,
      "from_high_reference": -0.012281,
      "from_low_reference": 0.230577
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      "fair_value_reference": 255.683415,
      "structural_low": 233.580526,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.00318,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
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        "worst_return": -0.124317,
        "sufficient": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -4.400995,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 0.586041,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -2.105161,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 58932.3,
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        "fair_value": 254.549173,
        "relative_strength": 0.121626,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.266066,
        "energy": 82.405438,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 102488,
        "typical_volume": 62246.9,
        "trend": 258.918707,
        "fair_value": 254.834937,
        "relative_strength": 2.820189,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 76.188419,
        "energy": 83.95866,
        "activity_lines": [
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          263.242649,
          261.134693
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 276.5,
        "volume": 50701,
        "typical_volume": 61878.6,
        "trend": 259.67371,
        "fair_value": 255.076714,
        "relative_strength": -0.750531,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.333133,
        "energy": 71.610185,
        "activity_lines": [
          278.5,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 278.0,
        "volume": 45837,
        "typical_volume": 61972.8,
        "trend": 260.54306,
        "fair_value": 255.380487,
        "relative_strength": -1.535238,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.680573,
        "energy": 53.137947,
        "activity_lines": [
          278.333333,
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          263.451311
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 281.5,
        "volume": 41117,
        "typical_volume": 62538.25,
        "trend": 261.46473,
        "fair_value": 255.683415,
        "relative_strength": -2.145922,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.074963,
        "energy": 54.94616,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}