{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c042c26b-ff92-4445-86f7-ad245c2352a1", "symbol": "TTEC", "name": "TTEC Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 89.356, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -25.167, "architecture_energy": 15.535, "architecture_maturity": 50.534, "architecture_confidence": 81.515, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.71, "rotation_up": 33.38, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 38.97, "rotation_down": 24.92, "downward_expansion": 56.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.366667, 2.270909, 2.379762, 2.462796 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 2.55, "trend_reference": 2.600667, "distance_from_trend": -0.019482, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.630857, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.66583, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -25.974778, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.158416, "excess_performance": -0.345869, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.019482, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.126756, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.66583, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066028, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.259748, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.123054, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.158416, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.712932, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1571632, "relative_activity": 0.616782, "balance": 0.712932, "dry_up": 0.703414, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.144748, "annualized_volatility": 0.955904, "from_high_reference": -0.3601, "from_low_reference": 0.338583 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.600667, "fair_value_reference": 7.630857, "structural_low": 1.905, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 51, "median_return": -0.033803, "positive_rate": 0.352941, "directional_follow_through": 0.647059, "median_excess_return": -0.043723, "regime_survival": 0.862745, "best_return": 0.417112, "worst_return": -0.448314, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.09274, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.091263, "regime_survival": 0.5625, "best_return": 0.396648, "worst_return": -0.53988, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.284337, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.334304, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.152174, "worst_return": -0.560909, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 56.745073, "activity_lines": [ 2.128667, 2.247273, 2.452095, 2.557398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.16, "volume": 1885274, "typical_volume": 2986806.55, "trend": 2.717167, "fair_value": 8.170898, "relative_strength": -37.485874, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.86948, "energy": 52.898205, "activity_lines": [ 2.128667, 2.210545, 2.414571, 2.518226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.12, "volume": 1866139, "typical_volume": 2865012.3, "trend": 2.669, "fair_value": 7.980188, "relative_strength": -36.109484, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.869679, "energy": 40.228171, "activity_lines": [ 2.128, 2.176545, 2.374857, 2.479699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.49, "volume": 1846484, "typical_volume": 2722985.6, "trend": 2.633, "fair_value": 7.795834, "relative_strength": -24.778231, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.482665, "energy": 24.207142, "activity_lines": [ 2.252, 2.215818, 2.373238, 2.468151 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.55, "volume": 1571632, "typical_volume": 2548117.5, "trend": 2.600667, "fair_value": 7.630857, "relative_strength": -25.974778, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.167348, "energy": 15.534774, "activity_lines": [ 2.366667, 2.270909, 2.379762, 2.462796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }