{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c04e6cea-9286-423b-95db-7bc81f92059a",
    "symbol": "TNPC",
    "name": "Thai Nam Plastic Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 53.263,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 16.636,
    "architecture_energy": 12.352,
    "architecture_maturity": 44.943,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.234,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 58.42,
        "rotation_up": 19.86,
        "upward_expansion": 45.16,
        "deceleration": 86.41,
        "rotation_down": 29.14,
        "downward_expansion": 25.49
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.908667,
        0.914909,
        0.917714,
        0.898817
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.9,
    "trend_reference": 0.870667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.033691,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.016754,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.11483,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.399559,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.125,
    "excess_performance": -0.067325,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033691,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024716,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.11483,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017556,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.113996,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031656,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.973313,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 146100,
      "relative_activity": 0.22078,
      "balance": 2.973313,
      "dry_up": 0.189499,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.052991,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.312124,
      "from_high_reference": -0.072165,
      "from_low_reference": 0.285714
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.870667,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.016754,
      "structural_low": 0.7,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.03337,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025831,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": -0.022472,
        "worst_return": -0.130952,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.161684,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.167626,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.067416,
        "worst_return": -0.255953,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.072733,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.168473,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.05618,
        "worst_return": -0.089286,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.290589,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.254143,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.290589,
        "worst_return": -0.290589,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2023-12-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.16,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.193103,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.052332,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.166667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.076087,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.107143,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.063158,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.05618,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.082353,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.064103,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.058824,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.065934,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.083333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.032258,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": -10.065248,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 107800,
        "typical_volume": 1662175.0,
        "trend": 0.863667,
        "fair_value": 1.020152,
        "relative_strength": -12.632449,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.094859,
        "energy": 21.202859,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.916667,
          0.93,
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          0.890903
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.9,
        "volume": 111100,
        "typical_volume": 1649300.0,
        "trend": 0.865667,
        "fair_value": 1.018598,
        "relative_strength": -13.528866,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.092509,
        "energy": 21.863518,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.908667,
          0.923455,
          0.915476,
          0.893247
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.92,
        "volume": 136600,
        "typical_volume": 1630480.0,
        "trend": 0.868,
        "fair_value": 1.01774,
        "relative_strength": -10.340279,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.480249,
        "energy": 15.216788,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.911333,
          0.920545,
          0.91781,
          0.896753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.9,
        "volume": 146100,
        "typical_volume": 661745.0,
        "trend": 0.870667,
        "fair_value": 1.016754,
        "relative_strength": -11.399559,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.635843,
        "energy": 12.351588,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.908667,
          0.914909,
          0.917714,
          0.898817
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}