{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c071f066-04ef-4b8b-b742-306c452c2bf2", "symbol": "6680", "name": "Sintrones Technology Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.668, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -10.929, "architecture_energy": 15.444, "architecture_maturity": 22.263, "architecture_confidence": 57.413, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.2, "rotation_up": 36.41, "upward_expansion": 32.27, "deceleration": 46.09, "rotation_down": 20.71, "downward_expansion": 42.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.980699, 52.611272, 52.441121, 53.357625 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 53.799999, "trend_reference": 55.519703, "distance_from_trend": -0.030975, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 70.016072, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.231605, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -37.414901, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.138245, "excess_performance": -0.579617, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.030975, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065297, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.231605, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048932, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.374149, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.102072, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.138245, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.009785, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23010, "relative_activity": 0.486172, "balance": 1.009785, "dry_up": 0.818063, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074302, "annualized_volatility": 0.340186, "from_high_reference": -0.258222, "from_low_reference": 0.147222 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.519703, "fair_value_reference": 70.016072, "structural_low": 46.895882, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.009816, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.048692, "regime_survival": 0.384615, "best_return": 0.062626, "worst_return": -0.156338, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.005405, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.106464, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.15824, "worst_return": -0.132092, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.01083, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.224484, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.2192, "worst_return": -0.232394, "sufficient": 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-35.917008, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.472178, "energy": 39.875553, "activity_lines": [ 50.766653, 51.265946, 52.136357, 53.91236 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 53.304016, "volume": 51532, "typical_volume": 51179.65, "trend": 55.930379, "fair_value": 70.42594, "relative_strength": -38.213745, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.207854, "energy": 23.579485, "activity_lines": [ 51.818494, 51.528098, 52.135664, 53.734147 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.556343, "volume": 28836, "typical_volume": 50045.5, "trend": 55.710302, "fair_value": 70.294784, "relative_strength": -38.393609, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.054848, "energy": 17.794897, "activity_lines": [ 52.067699, 51.442479, 52.003664, 53.451952 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56.119709, "volume": 51494, "typical_volume": 49836.4, "trend": 55.671465, "fair_value": 70.158313, "relative_strength": -33.482719, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.74477, "energy": 16.91796, "activity_lines": [ 53.637367, 52.235993, 52.333548, 53.478365 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 53.799999, "volume": 23010, "typical_volume": 47328.9, "trend": 55.519703, "fair_value": 70.016072, "relative_strength": -37.414901, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.929035, "energy": 15.443773, "activity_lines": [ 53.980699, 52.611272, 52.441121, 53.357625 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }