{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c08a02f4-716e-4408-8f3d-8e7ad08fbd3e", "symbol": "605180", "name": "ZheJiang HuaSheng Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.306, "architecture_energy": 55.417, "architecture_maturity": 28.56, "architecture_confidence": 84.302, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.05, "rotation_up": 15.23, "upward_expansion": 8.59, "deceleration": 49.78, "rotation_down": 65.79, "downward_expansion": 81.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.411333, 11.799133, 12.881611, 13.520738 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 12.16, "trend_reference": 14.255282, "distance_from_trend": -0.146983, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.477529, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.097757, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.027583, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.209877, "excess_performance": -0.166673, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.146983, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.062207, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.097757, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.276079, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.170276, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.133439, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.209877, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.537331, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7991696, "relative_activity": 0.851932, "balance": 0.537331, "dry_up": 0.965319, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110188, "annualized_volatility": 0.439595, "from_high_reference": -0.305222, "from_low_reference": 0.243354 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.255282, "fair_value_reference": 13.477529, "structural_low": 9.78, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.036078, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": 0.02411, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.332292, "worst_return": -0.212121, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.09749, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.015276, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.410416, "worst_return": -0.217627, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.102263, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.122547, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.294004, "worst_return": -0.080479, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"relative_strength": -24.177282, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.164821, "energy": 83.047359, "activity_lines": [ 12.400703, 13.150075, 13.958772, 14.35337 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.18, "volume": 9143967, "typical_volume": 9634304.15, "trend": 14.569282, "fair_value": 13.503574, "relative_strength": -21.601781, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.196254, "energy": 86.403498, "activity_lines": [ 11.852, 12.666854, 13.64578, 14.128921 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.57, "volume": 11601001, "typical_volume": 9564488.0, "trend": 14.442616, "fair_value": 13.490548, "relative_strength": -26.341368, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.126057, "energy": 86.783011, "activity_lines": [ 11.275333, 12.156733, 13.297549, 13.870903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.19, "volume": 7484742, "typical_volume": 9453276.85, "trend": 14.334949, "fair_value": 13.481245, "relative_strength": -21.926772, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.629751, "energy": 80.535166, "activity_lines": [ 11.146667, 11.845395, 13.03227, 13.661057 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.16, "volume": 7991696, "typical_volume": 9380678.5, "trend": 14.255282, "fair_value": 13.477529, "relative_strength": -17.027583, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.306162, "energy": 55.416529, "activity_lines": [ 11.411333, 11.799133, 12.881611, 13.520738 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }