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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.532, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.076, "architecture_energy": 20.752, "architecture_maturity": 39.594, "architecture_confidence": 73.177, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.34, "rotation_up": 40.9, "upward_expansion": 64.69, "deceleration": 80.9, "rotation_down": 24.83, "downward_expansion": 14.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 472.932, 473.806909, 470.049664, 463.469035 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 482.31, "trend_reference": 452.777823, "distance_from_trend": 0.065224, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 360.234324, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.338879, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.920116, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.065657, "excess_performance": -0.059968, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.065224, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054874, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.338879, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043909, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.009201, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019319, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.065657, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.57786, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5732754, "relative_activity": 0.889259, "balance": 1.57786, "dry_up": 1.039173, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062905, "annualized_volatility": 0.254804, "from_high_reference": -0.046573, "from_low_reference": 0.392341 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 452.777823, "fair_value_reference": 360.234324, "structural_low": 402.215549, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.727294, "energy": 33.594027, "activity_lines": [ 477.208, 473.865563, 468.495196, 460.856493 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 454.95, "volume": 10107731, "typical_volume": 6538845.65, "trend": 449.363557, "fair_value": 358.4047, "relative_strength": -3.413475, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.604185, "energy": 16.549953, "activity_lines": [ 469.745333, 471.394093, 468.049379, 461.343458 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 482.31, "volume": 5732754, "typical_volume": 6446660.65, "trend": 452.777823, "fair_value": 360.234324, "relative_strength": -0.920116, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.075673, "energy": 20.752308, "activity_lines": [ 472.932, 473.806909, 470.049664, 463.469035 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }