{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c09b008f-574f-41ef-8692-dcdf4c75ebaa",
    "symbol": "002424",
    "name": "Guizhou Bailing Group Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -35.775,
    "architecture_energy": 19.419,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.684,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.297,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 55.25,
        "rotation_up": 24.83,
        "upward_expansion": 13.71,
        "deceleration": 42.2,
        "rotation_down": 27.67,
        "downward_expansion": 59.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.539333,
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        4.58819,
        4.653097
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 4.59,
    "trend_reference": 4.659,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.01481,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 5.305128,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.134799,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -13.263726,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.085106,
    "excess_performance": 0.077707,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01481,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064771,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.134799,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018728,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.132637,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086694,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085106,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.145159,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 35604000,
      "relative_activity": 0.903717,
      "balance": 0.145159,
      "dry_up": 0.979695,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.055137,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.294901,
      "from_high_reference": -0.338617,
      "from_low_reference": 0.125
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.659,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.305128,
      "structural_low": 4.11,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": 0.017738,
        "positive_rate": 0.64,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.36,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005647,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.301676,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "worst_return": -0.380952,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
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        "worst_return": -0.586207,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.508366,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 5.380128,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -53.229037,
        "energy": 32.653564,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 4.41,
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        "typical_volume": 45909974.2,
        "trend": 4.650667,
        "fair_value": 5.352564,
        "relative_strength": -15.247617,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.434657,
        "energy": 19.354208,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.61219,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.6,
        "volume": 28197406,
        "typical_volume": 41637416.05,
        "trend": 4.651,
        "fair_value": 5.328269,
        "relative_strength": -9.672556,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -12.457824,
        "energy": 14.030002,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.516,
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          4.599286,
          4.657032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.59,
        "volume": 35604000,
        "typical_volume": 39397307.7,
        "trend": 4.659,
        "fair_value": 5.305128,
        "relative_strength": -13.263726,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.775157,
        "energy": 19.419386,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}