{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c09b447e-7663-45fe-969b-734f4cfe601e", "symbol": "ALKYLAMINE", "name": "Alkyl Amines Chemicals Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.99, "architecture_energy": 38.278, "architecture_maturity": 61.472, "architecture_confidence": 88.077, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.63, "rotation_up": 41.08, "upward_expansion": 72.0, "deceleration": 90.42, "rotation_down": 27.69, "downward_expansion": 10.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 1837.586678, 1836.247168, 1768.911125, 1686.634795 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1893.900024, "trend_reference": 1606.830811, "distance_from_trend": 0.178656, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1938.737002, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.023127, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.034714, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.234052, "excess_performance": 0.277761, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.178656, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036861, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.023127, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126669, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.120347, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.131413, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.234052, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.922387, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1991136, "relative_activity": 2.309875, "balance": 4.922387, "dry_up": 0.859814, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079075, "annualized_volatility": 0.32458, "from_high_reference": -0.139879, "from_low_reference": 0.562624 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1606.830811, "fair_value_reference": 1938.737002, "structural_low": 1212.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.024857, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.009906, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.159226, "worst_return": -0.097139, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.115946, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.090617, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.104377, "worst_return": -0.128962, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.272703, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.155995, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.006436, "worst_return": -0.300942, 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1822.701636, 1711.452898, 1641.864412 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1789.5, "volume": 271243, "typical_volume": 786525.7, "trend": 1589.890808, "fair_value": 1945.482738, "relative_strength": 8.527943, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.257815, "energy": 44.949244, "activity_lines": [ 1837.720003, 1822.87071, 1729.710402, 1655.190382 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1779.0, "volume": 260425, "typical_volume": 784171.05, "trend": 1595.620809, "fair_value": 1941.502352, "relative_strength": 5.819001, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.128819, "energy": 35.072386, "activity_lines": [ 1818.180005, 1819.738521, 1745.031238, 1667.390975 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1893.900024, "volume": 1991136, "typical_volume": 862010.25, "trend": 1606.830811, "fair_value": 1938.737002, "relative_strength": 12.034714, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.989899, "energy": 38.278213, "activity_lines": [ 1837.586678, 1836.247168, 1768.911125, 1686.634795 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }