{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c0a3861a-da4d-4af2-bead-c77297e48d4a",
    "symbol": "NVDA",
    "name": "NVIDIA Corporation",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 81.14,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 57.003,
    "architecture_energy": 37.192,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.472,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.24,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.87,
        "rotation_up": 52.66,
        "upward_expansion": 70.06,
        "deceleration": 50.42,
        "rotation_down": 20.87,
        "downward_expansion": 15.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        45.380255
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 50.0,
    "trend_reference": 44.2128,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.130894,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.638169,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.631951,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 3.178529,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.19309,
    "excess_performance": 0.072669,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130894,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033463,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.631951,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124775,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031785,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036514,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.19309,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.833949,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3844900,
      "relative_activity": 0.990831,
      "balance": 0.833949,
      "dry_up": 0.905378,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.061058,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.348141,
      "from_high_reference": -0.058884,
      "from_low_reference": 0.351092
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 44.2128,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.638169,
      "structural_low": 37.007114,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.019683,
        "positive_rate": 0.727273,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.727273,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000642,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.20981,
        "worst_return": -0.126521,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.134451,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.061933,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.282337,
        "worst_return": -0.134217,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.325061,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.229708,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.032803,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.854165,
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        "worst_return": 0.433853,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-04-04",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 29.262202,
        "relative_strength": -8.195222,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.47568,
        "energy": 18.216939,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 4055250.0,
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        "fair_value": 29.48007,
        "relative_strength": -6.936873,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 22.030292,
        "energy": 19.778519,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 4096610.0,
        "trend": 43.615864,
        "fair_value": 29.712813,
        "relative_strength": -0.658126,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.176218,
        "energy": 20.40637,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 45.299999,
        "volume": 3307900,
        "typical_volume": 3936450.0,
        "trend": 43.757596,
        "fair_value": 29.935298,
        "relative_strength": -4.218836,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.619306,
        "energy": 16.816469,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.400667,
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          45.700325,
          44.759395
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 46.290001,
        "volume": 2809000,
        "typical_volume": 3845120.0,
        "trend": 43.875331,
        "fair_value": 30.16051,
        "relative_strength": -2.22038,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.328962,
        "energy": 13.011854,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.71,
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          44.922776
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.91,
        "volume": 4091400,
        "typical_volume": 3896900.0,
        "trend": 43.943733,
        "fair_value": 30.380079,
        "relative_strength": -4.472665,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.658149,
        "energy": 16.002885,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.603334,
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          45.871429,
          44.989529
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 50.0,
        "volume": 3844900,
        "typical_volume": 3880480.0,
        "trend": 44.2128,
        "fair_value": 30.638169,
        "relative_strength": 3.178529,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.003483,
        "energy": 37.191952,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.084,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}