{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c0a6c6ab-43fc-424e-bee6-963847c061d8", "symbol": "PINC", "name": "Purpose Multi-Asset Income Fund ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 89.484, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.173, "architecture_energy": 66.178, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 65.698, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.46, "rotation_up": 52.66, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 71.48, "rotation_down": 29.67, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.733828, 22.694141, 22.350483, 21.95001 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 22.48, "trend_reference": 21.403419, "distance_from_trend": 0.050299, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.674787, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.271868, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.378817, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.112916, "excess_performance": -0.007506, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.050299, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052486, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.271868, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017254, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.023788, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001958, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.112916, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.185185, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1300, "relative_activity": 0.571429, "balance": 2.185185, "dry_up": 1.142857, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01036, "annualized_volatility": 0.073411, "from_high_reference": -0.022013, "from_low_reference": 0.21862 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.403419, "fair_value_reference": 17.674787, "structural_low": 20.191406, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": 0.010391, "positive_rate": 0.621622, "directional_follow_through": 0.621622, "median_excess_return": -0.004856, "regime_survival": 0.783784, "best_return": 0.047058, "worst_return": -0.032663, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.027153, "positive_rate": 0.769231, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.005575, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.099603, "worst_return": -0.093224, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.050661, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.002982, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.09199, "worst_return": -0.082966, "sufficient": true }, { 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"relative_strength": 2.422309, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.985093, "energy": 73.955611, "activity_lines": [ 22.822598, 22.660743, 22.189876, 21.773939 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.77, "volume": 4800, "typical_volume": 2265.0, "trend": 21.31318, "fair_value": 17.627163, "relative_strength": 1.97517, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.138287, "energy": 68.105631, "activity_lines": [ 22.832299, 22.710673, 22.28954, 21.874731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.48, "volume": 1300, "typical_volume": 2275.0, "trend": 21.403419, "fair_value": 17.674787, "relative_strength": -2.378817, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.172525, "energy": 66.178082, "activity_lines": [ 22.733828, 22.694141, 22.350483, 21.95001 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }