{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c0b0e122-afe0-4a4e-8449-2513a25792ed",
    "symbol": "DEED",
    "name": "FIRST TRUST SECURITIZED PLUS ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 67.201,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -47.11,
    "architecture_energy": 38.338,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.438,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.309,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.15,
        "rotation_up": 14.1,
        "upward_expansion": 8.32,
        "deceleration": 40.85,
        "rotation_down": 53.76,
        "downward_expansion": 74.66
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        21.172195,
        21.189039,
        21.215388
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 21.14,
    "trend_reference": 21.256415,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.005477,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 19.806452,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.067329,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -10.907611,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.006577,
    "excess_performance": -0.132202,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005477,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00104,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067329,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01986,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.109076,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014358,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006577,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.243246,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 34517,
      "relative_activity": 0.173075,
      "balance": 0.243246,
      "dry_up": 1.484237,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.011699,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.044828,
      "from_high_reference": -0.026855,
      "from_low_reference": 0.041
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 21.256415,
      "fair_value_reference": 19.806452,
      "structural_low": 20.912602,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.000712,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002319,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.042461,
        "worst_return": -0.036755,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.004886,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018711,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.042785,
        "worst_return": -0.076731,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.010434,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027317,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.03517,
        "worst_return": -0.101605,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.07987,
        "worst_return": -0.190883,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 189010.55,
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        "stage": 3,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 21.02,
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        "typical_volume": 210631.35,
        "trend": 21.267963,
        "fair_value": 19.767255,
        "relative_strength": -7.880373,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "energy": 19.189598,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 21.0012,
        "volume": 247551,
        "typical_volume": 213172.45,
        "trend": 21.261336,
        "fair_value": 19.785991,
        "relative_strength": -8.672735,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.678953,
        "energy": 38.539952,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.117564,
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          21.194276,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 21.14,
        "volume": 34517,
        "typical_volume": 199433.85,
        "trend": 21.256415,
        "fair_value": 19.806452,
        "relative_strength": -10.907611,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.109641,
        "energy": 38.338056,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}