{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c0b2e58f-7b9d-4662-a176-b5a1d051ee80", "symbol": "AIFF", "name": "Firefly Neuroscience, Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -38.48, "architecture_energy": 67.076, "architecture_maturity": 26.493, "architecture_confidence": 64.657, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.36, "rotation_up": 23.46, "upward_expansion": 24.69, "deceleration": 43.69, "rotation_down": 64.73, "downward_expansion": 66.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.137333, 1.198545, 1.413476, 1.490743 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.2, "trend_reference": 1.465487, "distance_from_trend": -0.181159, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.157747, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.711382, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.830532, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.627339, "excess_performance": 0.439886, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.181159, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028089, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.711382, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094671, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.398305, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118965, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.627339, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.290258, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1280376, "relative_activity": 0.138277, "balance": 0.290258, "dry_up": 0.07482, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.162256, "annualized_volatility": 1.950832, "from_high_reference": -0.669421, "from_low_reference": 0.94332 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.465487, "fair_value_reference": 4.157747, "structural_low": 0.6175, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.216224, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.176411, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.170543, "worst_return": -0.261905, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.515873, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.512369, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.515873, "worst_return": -0.515873, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.805556, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.737197, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.805556, "worst_return": -0.805556, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.503885, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.246334, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.29697, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.127168, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.745511, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", 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"Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.592667, "energy": 62.234997, "activity_lines": [ 1.275333, 1.416364, 1.626559, 1.574937 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.15, "volume": 447482, "typical_volume": 32460527.35, "trend": 1.455173, "fair_value": 4.364369, "relative_strength": -44.042961, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.211128, "energy": 62.099328, "activity_lines": [ 1.215333, 1.346545, 1.57281, 1.55484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.11, "volume": 292652, "typical_volume": 14535396.45, "trend": 1.456173, "fair_value": 4.315715, "relative_strength": -43.807826, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -45.903267, "energy": 69.72961, "activity_lines": [ 1.166667, 1.282909, 1.513095, 1.53257 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.07, "volume": 750669, "typical_volume": 9858741.9, "trend": 1.462153, "fair_value": 4.242363, "relative_strength": -44.924354, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -46.234453, "energy": 72.123678, "activity_lines": [ 1.122, 1.222727, 1.453095, 1.507656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.2, "volume": 1280376, "typical_volume": 9259473.5, "trend": 1.465487, "fair_value": 4.157747, "relative_strength": -39.830532, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.479975, "energy": 67.07601, "activity_lines": [ 1.137333, 1.198545, 1.413476, 1.490743 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }