{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c0f92b66-d205-4212-b88e-ee5732a3fe4e", "symbol": "5JS", "name": "Indofood Agri Resources Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 78.665, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.832, "architecture_energy": 39.487, "architecture_maturity": 16.269, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.94, "rotation_up": 24.03, "upward_expansion": 5.47, "deceleration": 49.87, "rotation_down": 51.21, "downward_expansion": 76.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.356, 0.356727, 0.368706, 0.374139 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.355, "trend_reference": 0.377278, "distance_from_trend": -0.05905, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.315516, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.125142, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.343779, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.063611, "excess_performance": -0.218446, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.05905, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001024, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.125142, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.22021, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.193438, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.254724, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.063611, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.096479, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 320200, "relative_activity": 0.725148, "balance": 0.096479, "dry_up": 0.44331, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050921, "annualized_volatility": 0.167833, "from_high_reference": -0.183908, "from_low_reference": 0.074091 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.377278, "fair_value_reference": 0.315516, "structural_low": 0.330512, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.307692, "median_excess_return": 0.006903, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.081966, "worst_return": -0.064517, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.030908, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.001448, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.215383, "worst_return": -0.016127, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.065069, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.00472, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.295081, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 0.378219, "fair_value": 0.313064, "relative_strength": -13.922384, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.880962, "energy": 52.538868, "activity_lines": [ 0.360333, 0.369605, 0.38194, 0.381475 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.35, "volume": 285900, "typical_volume": 570965.0, "trend": 0.377897, "fair_value": 0.313458, "relative_strength": -18.432015, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -42.262538, "energy": 54.870696, "activity_lines": [ 0.356, 0.364182, 0.378671, 0.379654 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.35, "volume": 215400, "typical_volume": 535180.0, "trend": 0.377574, "fair_value": 0.31394, "relative_strength": -18.766588, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.595687, "energy": 51.59777, "activity_lines": [ 0.353333, 0.359818, 0.375516, 0.377855 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.365, "volume": 154300, "typical_volume": 506780.0, "trend": 0.37759, "fair_value": 0.314547, "relative_strength": -16.18183, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.165291, "energy": 49.268671, "activity_lines": [ 0.356333, 0.359364, 0.37386, 0.377043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.355, "volume": 93100, "typical_volume": 482460.0, "trend": 0.377434, "fair_value": 0.315061, "relative_strength": -18.681872, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.147378, "energy": 47.035088, "activity_lines": [ 0.356, 0.357818, 0.371249, 0.375586 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.355, "volume": 320200, "typical_volume": 441565.0, "trend": 0.377278, "fair_value": 0.315516, "relative_strength": -19.343779, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.832269, "energy": 39.486503, "activity_lines": [ 0.356, 0.356727, 0.368706, 0.374139 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }