{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c0fd26c6-acbd-4add-af0c-e2fe87e376c2", "symbol": "RTX", "name": "RTX Corporation", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 65.469, "architecture_energy": 87.047, "architecture_maturity": 21.679, "architecture_confidence": 80.838, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.7, "rotation_up": 85.07, "upward_expansion": 71.96, "deceleration": 18.01, "rotation_down": 16.02, "downward_expansion": 27.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 3657.855322, 3531.823269, 3374.43333, 3372.44606 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 3796.379883, "trend_reference": 3386.650692, "distance_from_trend": 0.120984, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2470.259275, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.536835, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.77354, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.10956, "excess_performance": 0.164226, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.120984, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018243, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.536835, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.235748, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.137735, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.261248, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.10956, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 58.09009, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2435, "relative_activity": 3.668274, "balance": 58.09009, "dry_up": 1.427011, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030039, "annualized_volatility": 0.280293, "from_high_reference": -0.024067, "from_low_reference": 0.317666 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3386.650692, "fair_value_reference": 2470.259275, "structural_low": 2990.2854, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.031695, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.03434, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.060961, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.077972, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.047848, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.134359, "worst_return": 0.021586, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.145419, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.154481, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.371473, "worst_return": -0.080636, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.679853, "energy": 43.670441, "activity_lines": [ 3364.666667, 3262.783811, 3251.784276, 3301.194416 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3412.0, "volume": 27, "typical_volume": 609.0, "trend": 3350.742822, "fair_value": 2427.043164, "relative_strength": 3.29134, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.250873, "energy": 44.414113, "activity_lines": [ 3397.333333, 3303.352752, 3260.823915, 3305.487153 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3662.51001, "volume": 1108, "typical_volume": 557.9, "trend": 3361.541309, "fair_value": 2441.194227, "relative_strength": 11.076075, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 58.657849, "energy": 82.448419, "activity_lines": [ 3497.370003, 3382.455819, 3294.193845, 3325.601166 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3663.600098, "volume": 219, "typical_volume": 566.9, "trend": 3372.342806, "fair_value": 2455.301175, "relative_strength": 10.079233, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 52.682984, "energy": 82.287061, "activity_lines": [ 3567.602702, 3450.592565, 3327.870473, 3345.088829 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3796.379883, "volume": 2435, "typical_volume": 663.8, "trend": 3386.650692, "fair_value": 2470.259275, "relative_strength": 13.77354, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 65.469144, "energy": 87.04688, "activity_lines": [ 3657.855322, 3531.823269, 3374.43333, 3372.44606 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }