{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c111cc29-0448-4473-9e6a-ee2f49a64874", "symbol": "TBLA", "name": "Taboola", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 81.616, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 19.506, "architecture_energy": 14.819, "architecture_maturity": 64.002, "architecture_confidence": 73.525, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.4, "rotation_up": 25.41, "upward_expansion": 59.9, "deceleration": 85.39, "rotation_down": 31.13, "downward_expansion": 21.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.738667, 4.866, 4.762429, 4.47243 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.1, "trend_reference": 4.165333, "distance_from_trend": -0.015685, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.769038, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.087811, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.816763, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.138889, "excess_performance": -0.048565, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.015685, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064939, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.087811, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.360465, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.088168, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.293953, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.138889, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.734093, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25538443, "relative_activity": 1.885808, "balance": 0.734093, "dry_up": 1.057053, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.134173, "annualized_volatility": 0.65215, "from_high_reference": -0.281961, "from_low_reference": 0.446208 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.165333, "fair_value_reference": 3.769038, "structural_low": 2.835, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.044619, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.04562, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.12761, "worst_return": -0.257246, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.162095, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.121796, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.020882, "worst_return": -0.401554, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.047244, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.098798, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.244389, "worst_return": -0.193548, "sufficient": true }, { 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13399863.85, "trend": 4.098, "fair_value": 3.732564, "relative_strength": 23.824657, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.729783, "energy": 60.386557, "activity_lines": [ 5.105333, 4.968909, 4.568714, 4.301484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.28, "volume": 11234526, "typical_volume": 13302746.8, "trend": 4.140333, "fair_value": 3.745641, "relative_strength": 23.09518, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.184525, "energy": 66.643667, "activity_lines": [ 5.208, 5.029273, 4.676048, 4.377742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.82, "volume": 10796602, "typical_volume": 13048862.85, "trend": 4.151333, "fair_value": 3.754231, "relative_strength": 13.788409, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.437372, "energy": 50.899784, "activity_lines": [ 5.121333, 5.005455, 4.729524, 4.421591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.01, "volume": 9690730, "typical_volume": 12770367.6, "trend": 4.170667, "fair_value": 3.764551, "relative_strength": 17.074812, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.074492, "energy": 45.278994, "activity_lines": [ 5.09, 5.019273, 4.793857, 4.476989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.1, "volume": 25538443, "typical_volume": 13542443.3, "trend": 4.165333, "fair_value": 3.769038, "relative_strength": -8.816763, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.505653, "energy": 14.819212, "activity_lines": [ 4.738667, 4.866, 4.762429, 4.47243 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }