{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c1186bfb-e6a7-4516-9d14-810b5f1cc787",
    "symbol": "KGEI",
    "name": "Kolibri Global Energy Inc. Common stock",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 31.87,
    "architecture_energy": 19.09,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.862,
    "architecture_confidence": 41.046,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.39,
        "rotation_up": 49.09,
        "upward_expansion": 61.45,
        "deceleration": 62.33,
        "rotation_down": 14.3,
        "downward_expansion": 13.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.165333,
        5.059636,
        5.171333,
        5.111301
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 5.09,
    "trend_reference": 4.887167,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.041503,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4.725167,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.077211,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -7.310355,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.322078,
    "excess_performance": 0.134624,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041503,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08159,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077211,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025506,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073104,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108911,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.322078,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.740934,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 711203,
      "relative_activity": 0.704662,
      "balance": 0.740934,
      "dry_up": 0.612377,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.125389,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.610738,
      "from_high_reference": -0.229955,
      "from_low_reference": 0.519403
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.887167,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.725167,
      "structural_low": 3.57,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.024107,
        "positive_rate": 0.5625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004328,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.956358,
        "worst_return": -0.168335,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.14964,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.121691,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.432541,
        "worst_return": -0.202312,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.321352,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.267383,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 1.378125,
        "worst_return": -0.450867,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 1.218582,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 1.091326,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.6625,
        "worst_return": -0.291908,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-08-25",
        "end": "2023-12-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.056391,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-12-22",
        "end": "2024-05-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.004249,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-07",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.086038,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013115,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02276,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.002882,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.207154,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.703529,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.120048,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.138728,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.172697,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.164966,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.111354,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 55062.9,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 4.708228,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 5.23,
        "volume": 486489,
        "typical_volume": 1111091.3,
        "trend": 4.750833,
        "fair_value": 4.712971,
        "relative_strength": -3.338499,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 9.82606,
        "energy": 14.406567,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.91,
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          5.181571,
          5.032516
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 5.31,
        "volume": 693221,
        "typical_volume": 1063236.3,
        "trend": 4.787833,
        "fair_value": 4.717522,
        "relative_strength": 0.480626,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.76112,
        "energy": 12.197714,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.064667,
          5.041818,
          5.19169,
          5.068591
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.19,
        "volume": 581333,
        "typical_volume": 1035165.45,
        "trend": 4.830167,
        "fair_value": 4.719974,
        "relative_strength": -1.559778,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.605922,
        "energy": 16.847121,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.152,
          5.053636,
          5.187143,
          5.094538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.09,
        "volume": 711203,
        "typical_volume": 1009281.9,
        "trend": 4.887167,
        "fair_value": 4.725167,
        "relative_strength": -7.310355,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.86971,
        "energy": 19.089777,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.165333,
          5.059636,
          5.171333,
          5.111301
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}