{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c11f34b0-4ad6-4d45-a184-589f9fdbe4d6", "symbol": "MATR", "name": "Mattr Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.796, "architecture_energy": 91.385, "architecture_maturity": 46.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.827, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.17, "rotation_up": 87.03, "upward_expansion": 99.19, "deceleration": 39.41, "rotation_down": 8.15, "downward_expansion": 21.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.560666, 16.056, 14.23019, 12.907935 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 18.209999, "trend_reference": 11.339333, "distance_from_trend": 0.605914, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.994872, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.401322, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 53.022071, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.945513, "excess_performance": 0.825091, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.605914, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.255138, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.401322, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.682549, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.530221, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.682146, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.945513, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.431624, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1515500, "relative_activity": 1.633452, "balance": 3.431624, "dry_up": 1.950846, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077388, "annualized_volatility": 0.584871, "from_high_reference": -0.050078, "from_low_reference": 1.504814 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.339333, "fair_value_reference": 12.994872, "structural_low": 8.04, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.019156, "positive_rate": 0.590909, "directional_follow_through": 0.590909, "median_excess_return": -0.00412, "regime_survival": 0.681818, "best_return": 0.336023, "worst_return": -0.142857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.103236, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.098554, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.674839, "worst_return": -0.288235, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.061327, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.058761, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.790875, "worst_return": -0.228359, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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10.009667, "fair_value": 13.037564, "relative_strength": 19.449192, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.549808, "energy": 67.907713, "activity_lines": [ 13.181333, 12.960182, 11.811571, 11.009226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.290001, "volume": 2729600, "typical_volume": 854615.0, "trend": 10.362667, "fair_value": 13.02859, "relative_strength": 60.003338, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 94.532817, "energy": 76.54562, "activity_lines": [ 14.936667, 13.996364, 12.523619, 11.543441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.809999, "volume": 1596800, "typical_volume": 896630.0, "trend": 10.689, "fair_value": 13.014038, "relative_strength": 54.844723, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.72034, "energy": 92.000409, "activity_lines": [ 16.168667, 14.786545, 13.143524, 12.023914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.18, "volume": 1398000, "typical_volume": 891250.0, "trend": 10.998667, "fair_value": 13.000064, "relative_strength": 49.659911, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.624212, "energy": 88.674892, "activity_lines": [ 16.844, 15.367455, 13.657619, 12.442688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.209999, "volume": 1515500, "typical_volume": 927790.0, "trend": 11.339333, "fair_value": 12.994872, "relative_strength": 53.022071, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.796025, "energy": 91.384561, "activity_lines": [ 17.560666, 16.056, 14.23019, 12.907935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }