{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c1226047-b095-471d-b8b0-169b385ecd55", "symbol": "6486", "name": "Interactive Digital Technologies Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 64.093, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.606, "architecture_energy": 53.112, "architecture_maturity": 5.526, "architecture_confidence": 95.134, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.39, "rotation_up": 17.17, "upward_expansion": 13.29, "deceleration": 36.57, "rotation_down": 57.11, "downward_expansion": 81.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 74.986666, 75.75509, 76.442399, 77.074793 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 74.0, "trend_reference": 77.412084, "distance_from_trend": -0.044077, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 70.35513, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.051807, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.320576, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.000911, "excess_performance": -0.442283, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.044077, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008706, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.051807, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055014, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.293206, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000474, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.000911, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.661447, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 289396, "relative_activity": 0.385437, "balance": 0.661447, "dry_up": 0.560604, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038296, "annualized_volatility": 0.195272, "from_high_reference": -0.123047, "from_low_reference": 0.137534 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 77.412084, "fair_value_reference": 70.35513, "structural_low": 73.045226, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.008475, "positive_rate": 0.631579, "directional_follow_through": 0.368421, "median_excess_return": -0.005819, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.101351, "worst_return": -0.032476, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.021004, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.00203, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.119163, "worst_return": 0.013514, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.108027, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.058833, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.346705, "worst_return": -0.026634, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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-24.044833, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.370624, "energy": 16.785491, "activity_lines": [ 76.885063, 76.62661, 77.495873, 77.685008 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 78.599998, "volume": 327122, "typical_volume": 814036.3, "trend": 77.804404, "fair_value": 70.057686, "relative_strength": -23.509705, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.809691, "energy": 14.805269, "activity_lines": [ 77.543673, 77.010445, 77.522816, 77.736491 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 74.199997, "volume": 749091, "typical_volume": 799716.5, "trend": 77.638445, "fair_value": 70.153153, "relative_strength": -26.191899, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.442055, "energy": 22.532537, "activity_lines": [ 76.563555, 76.550734, 77.136122, 77.503948 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 74.5, "volume": 318055, "typical_volume": 783485.8, "trend": 77.513462, "fair_value": 70.246383, "relative_strength": -27.020768, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.42686, "energy": 36.986334, "activity_lines": [ 75.755146, 76.183712, 76.803479, 77.301468 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 74.0, "volume": 289396, "typical_volume": 750826.05, "trend": 77.412084, "fair_value": 70.35513, "relative_strength": -29.320576, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.605655, "energy": 53.112396, "activity_lines": [ 74.986666, 75.75509, 76.442399, 77.074793 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }