{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c14f0fcb-1559-4ce3-942f-9777bb29b111", "symbol": "RUDC", "name": "RBC U.S. Dividend Covered Call ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.896, "architecture_energy": 68.321, "architecture_maturity": 59.57, "architecture_confidence": 82.772, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.62, "rotation_up": 64.36, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 63.57, "rotation_down": 24.71, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.352901, 25.189156, 24.692038, 24.230002 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 25.440001, "trend_reference": 23.682892, "distance_from_trend": 0.074193, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.312742, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.252416, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.179962, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.11252, "excess_performance": -0.007901, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074193, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042389, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.252416, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067084, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.0118, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038653, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.11252, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.465116, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 900, "relative_activity": 1.192053, "balance": 1.465116, "dry_up": 0.761589, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015663, "annualized_volatility": 0.08687, "from_high_reference": -0.010117, "from_low_reference": 0.222728 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.682892, "fair_value_reference": 20.312742, "structural_low": 22.098602, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.012053, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.004452, "regime_survival": 0.9, "best_return": 0.049258, "worst_return": -0.082816, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.036467, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.045368, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.051209, "worst_return": -0.093168, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.077909, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.081706, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.083522, "worst_return": -0.023456, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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}, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 25.171314, "volume": 2000, "typical_volume": 955.0, "trend": 23.26321, "fair_value": 20.095482, "relative_strength": 0.314181, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.087903, "energy": 87.367597, "activity_lines": [ 24.964217, 24.698577, 24.102967, 23.733467 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.211096, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 890.0, "trend": 23.369062, "fair_value": 20.148636, "relative_strength": 0.705371, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.993609, "energy": 84.941366, "activity_lines": [ 25.077837, 24.841758, 24.255234, 23.859138 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.5, "volume": 600, "typical_volume": 795.0, "trend": 23.483579, "fair_value": 20.203803, "relative_strength": 1.628354, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.859169, "energy": 84.563157, "activity_lines": [ 25.255682, 25.002028, 24.424731, 23.996617 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.25, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 740.0, "trend": 23.588965, "fair_value": 20.257475, "relative_strength": 1.176848, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.774382, "energy": 67.052546, "activity_lines": [ 25.287845, 25.087295, 24.556045, 24.11058 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.440001, "volume": 900, "typical_volume": 755.0, "trend": 23.682892, "fair_value": 20.312742, "relative_strength": -1.179962, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.895927, "energy": 68.320705, "activity_lines": [ 25.352901, 25.189156, 24.692038, 24.230002 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }