{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c15f0d39-e93d-4975-94d0-2777709d0812",
    "symbol": "FNX",
    "name": "Fonix Plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 65.848,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 25.562,
    "architecture_energy": 41.418,
    "architecture_maturity": 5.455,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.834,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.42,
        "rotation_up": 62.79,
        "upward_expansion": 45.72,
        "deceleration": 25.9,
        "rotation_down": 14.5,
        "downward_expansion": 20.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        169.65,
        164.136364,
        161.735714,
        162.230421
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 172.0,
    "trend_reference": 164.88014,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.043182,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 207.388097,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.170637,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.808689,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.089764,
    "excess_performance": -0.156043,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043182,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.04401,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.170637,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027059,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.118087,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069052,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089764,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.090657,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 625776,
      "relative_activity": 0.76479,
      "balance": 1.090657,
      "dry_up": 1.165388,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.059034,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.403336,
      "from_high_reference": -0.294941,
      "from_low_reference": 0.192366
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 164.88014,
      "fair_value_reference": 207.388097,
      "structural_low": 144.251007,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.018127,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.039431,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.055814,
        "worst_return": -0.057018,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.067194,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.044681,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.178248,
        "worst_return": -0.04386,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.099757,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011885,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.374952,
        "worst_return": -0.175439,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.084741,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.188986,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.139379,
        "worst_return": -0.308861,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.069909,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.012245,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.139344,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.042411,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.099561,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.054645,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.140312,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.307677,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.002193,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.031111,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.058275,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018421,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.089513,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-04",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 208.319897,
        "relative_strength": -18.298043,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 22.661845,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 156.0,
        "volume": 598385,
        "typical_volume": 846254.65,
        "trend": 164.543413,
        "fair_value": 207.966011,
        "relative_strength": -19.859142,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.068332,
        "energy": 17.691266,
        "activity_lines": [
          157.1,
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          158.052668,
          160.72076
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 168.5,
        "volume": 1304595,
        "typical_volume": 878895.15,
        "trend": 164.577867,
        "fair_value": 207.733862,
        "relative_strength": -13.715933,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -6.772447,
        "energy": 14.810589,
        "activity_lines": [
          161.316667,
          157.881818,
          158.930508,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 177.0,
        "volume": 1285478,
        "typical_volume": 892369.7,
        "trend": 164.97897,
        "fair_value": 207.572204,
        "relative_strength": -9.737636,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.091842,
        "energy": 32.484389,
        "activity_lines": [
          167.133333,
          161.640909,
          160.631993,
          161.777451
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 172.0,
        "volume": 625776,
        "typical_volume": 818232.95,
        "trend": 164.88014,
        "fair_value": 207.388097,
        "relative_strength": -11.808689,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 25.561958,
        "energy": 41.418197,
        "activity_lines": [
          169.65,
          164.136364,
          161.735714,
          162.230421
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}