{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c1647071-6cb8-47e4-a51a-d5567df3a368",
    "symbol": "SCHX",
    "name": "SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR US LARGE-CAP ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.015,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.838,
    "architecture_energy": 55.766,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.222,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.862,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.11,
        "rotation_up": 56.75,
        "upward_expansion": 81.12,
        "deceleration": 59.51,
        "rotation_down": 24.9,
        "downward_expansion": 7.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        29.738667,
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        29.219779,
        28.647659
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 30.52,
    "trend_reference": 28.009519,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.08963,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 22.973621,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.32848,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.171294,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.123578,
    "excess_performance": -0.002047,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08963,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032513,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.32848,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008703,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001713,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005789,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123578,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.184504,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 40051803,
      "relative_activity": 0.596342,
      "balance": 2.184504,
      "dry_up": 0.684011,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.025029,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.140193,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003429,
      "from_low_reference": 0.230144
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 28.009519,
      "fair_value_reference": 22.973621,
      "structural_low": 24.8101,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000428,
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        "best_return": 0.065128,
        "worst_return": -0.046541,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "worst_return": -0.055282,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.167064,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.116196,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 79737189.35,
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        "relative_strength": -0.349292,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 29.44,
        "volume": 44883316,
        "typical_volume": 74229649.85,
        "trend": 27.90361,
        "fair_value": 22.88666,
        "relative_strength": -0.331972,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.517918,
        "energy": 44.20357,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 30.52,
        "volume": 40051803,
        "typical_volume": 67162493.2,
        "trend": 28.009519,
        "fair_value": 22.973621,
        "relative_strength": -0.171294,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.838383,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}