{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c18c6baf-a6fb-4c90-930b-992d86b21441", "symbol": "PTEN", "name": "Patterson-UTI Energy Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 70.723, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 17.146, "architecture_energy": 11.488, "architecture_maturity": 29.795, "architecture_confidence": 79.623, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.18, "rotation_up": 32.47, "upward_expansion": 51.05, "deceleration": 72.25, "rotation_down": 21.3, "downward_expansion": 24.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.086667, 9.952182, 10.407775, 10.335046 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.87, "trend_reference": 9.895977, "distance_from_trend": -0.002625, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.525391, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.157718, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.623908, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.162642, "excess_performance": -0.024812, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.002625, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.164184, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.157718, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.160302, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.076239, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.295188, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.162642, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.876205, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 43111775, "relative_activity": 0.940468, "balance": 0.876205, "dry_up": 0.998622, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.122964, "annualized_volatility": 0.543751, "from_high_reference": -0.238868, "from_low_reference": 1.001117 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.895977, "fair_value_reference": 8.525391, "structural_low": 7.572718, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.097551, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.147383, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.063608, "worst_return": -0.189828, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.179938, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.349575, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.167391, "worst_return": -0.353682, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.156094, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.344927, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.204059, "worst_return": -0.312874, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }