{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c1a1ac94-3e72-45af-9fdd-8da4fc9eec05", "symbol": "UPS", "name": "United Parcel Service, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -4.964, "architecture_energy": 11.196, "architecture_maturity": 28.473, "architecture_confidence": 76.237, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.13, "rotation_up": 34.03, "upward_expansion": 37.57, "deceleration": 38.9, "rotation_down": 37.07, "downward_expansion": 23.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 1883.591325, 1900.635627, 1872.358672, 1858.93566 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1801.530029, "trend_reference": 1859.811149, "distance_from_trend": -0.031337, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2210.498438, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.185012, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.147439, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.110987, "excess_performance": -0.05632, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.031337, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021536, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.185012, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066318, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.011474, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.116383, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.110987, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.352555, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 520, "relative_activity": 0.570739, "balance": 7.352555, "dry_up": 0.365767, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04609, "annualized_volatility": 0.301625, "from_high_reference": -0.128517, "from_low_reference": 0.189974 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1859.811149, "fair_value_reference": 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"relative_strength": -0.993493, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.607798, "energy": 25.748989, "activity_lines": [ 1930.174642, 1919.753074, 1875.893527, 1862.991562 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1801.530029, "volume": 520, "typical_volume": 911.1, "trend": 1859.811149, "fair_value": 2210.498438, "relative_strength": -1.147439, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.964337, "energy": 11.196234, "activity_lines": [ 1883.591325, 1900.635627, 1872.358672, 1858.93566 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }