{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c1a2611a-41bf-46ac-9911-077bf51d36db", "symbol": "TKR", "name": "Timken Company", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.815, "architecture_energy": 35.433, "architecture_maturity": 63.572, "architecture_confidence": 93.446, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.0, "rotation_up": 32.94, "upward_expansion": 62.71, "deceleration": 91.1, "rotation_down": 27.15, "downward_expansion": 17.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 135.908, 137.339636, 131.604656, 124.682178 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 130.33, "trend_reference": 115.964108, "distance_from_trend": 0.123882, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 83.87984, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.55377, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 16.910505, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.237051, "excess_performance": 0.111426, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.123882, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.187044, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.55377, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073315, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.169105, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065595, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.237051, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.146055, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7217367, "relative_activity": 1.593486, "balance": 1.146055, "dry_up": 1.021143, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076988, "annualized_volatility": 0.268179, "from_high_reference": -0.109585, "from_low_reference": 0.866962 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 115.964108, "fair_value_reference": 83.87984, "structural_low": 93.870988, "invalidation": "A 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116.376487 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 137.31, "volume": 4177126, "typical_volume": 4414386.75, "trend": 109.298282, "fair_value": 82.45628, "relative_strength": 30.369245, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.689142, "energy": 65.159226, "activity_lines": [ 139.242, 135.471121, 124.970509, 118.292284 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 137.78, "volume": 3641900, "typical_volume": 4418647.3, "trend": 111.067298, "fair_value": 82.781402, "relative_strength": 31.781771, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.672296, "energy": 59.027839, "activity_lines": [ 138.694667, 136.729897, 126.98225, 120.129815 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 141.3, "volume": 3434652, "typical_volume": 4335863.3, "trend": 112.911917, "fair_value": 83.128357, "relative_strength": 34.774046, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.247917, "energy": 55.57441, "activity_lines": [ 139.272667, 138.261455, 129.187535, 122.080311 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 137.55, "volume": 4206309, "typical_volume": 4342695.4, "trend": 114.639154, "fair_value": 83.516291, "relative_strength": 28.616819, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.646383, "energy": 46.741187, "activity_lines": [ 138.671333, 138.616909, 130.835929, 123.669865 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 130.33, "volume": 7217367, "typical_volume": 4529293.1, "trend": 115.964108, "fair_value": 83.87984, "relative_strength": 16.910505, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.815191, "energy": 35.433388, "activity_lines": [ 135.908, 137.339636, 131.604656, 124.682178 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }