{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c1a60e73-081a-460a-9198-1d9e143774bc", "symbol": "PODD", "name": "Insulet Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.279, "architecture_energy": 41.365, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.573, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.84, "rotation_up": 28.41, "upward_expansion": 9.66, "deceleration": 40.66, "rotation_down": 37.69, "downward_expansion": 67.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 156.428667, 157.587818, 159.310714, 172.076882 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 141.17, "trend_reference": 193.932667, "distance_from_trend": -0.272067, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 231.219776, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.389455, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -50.795064, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.416484, "excess_performance": -0.603938, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.272067, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.204404, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.389455, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027736, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.507951, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043553, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.416484, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.747352, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15175629, "relative_activity": 2.149427, "balance": 0.747352, "dry_up": 1.256768, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117098, "annualized_volatility": 0.406994, "from_high_reference": -0.602204, "from_low_reference": 0.116851 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 193.932667, "fair_value_reference": 231.219776, "structural_low": 126.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.000404, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.021201, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.202653, "worst_return": -0.347663, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.085658, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.077666, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.464888, "worst_return": -0.524365, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.042973, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.186574, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.615431, "worst_return": -0.429753, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.025318, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.00553, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.260311, "worst_return": -0.310947, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-04-19", "end": "2024-05-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.049203, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-10", "end": "2024-05-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.085413, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-06-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.131272, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.107349, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-09-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.109762, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.092231, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.210309, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.0632, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.110431, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.065468, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.03189, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.020561, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.001421, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.509315, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 205.105, "volume": 5398162, "typical_volume": 3070581.4, "trend": 291.0285, "fair_value": 267.934071, "relative_strength": -38.076936, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -94.281825, "energy": 96.667135, "activity_lines": [ 237.427, 257.226, 273.772857, 283.097118 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 183.0, "volume": 8207145, "typical_volume": 3384558.75, "trend": 287.611833, "fair_value": 267.733173, "relative_strength": -45.220301, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -96.842643, "energy": 98.711385, "activity_lines": [ 214.538, 241.615364, 263.7765, 276.127538 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 192.18, "volume": 8115617, "typical_volume": 3661887.85, "trend": 284.178167, "fair_value": 267.652083, "relative_strength": -44.119525, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.219847, "energy": 93.289431, "activity_lines": [ 201.461, 229.519273, 255.295952, 269.970645 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 171.92, "volume": 7363649, "typical_volume": 3921269.0, "trend": 280.081167, "fair_value": 267.397788, "relative_strength": -48.884536, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.672505, "energy": 95.171029, "activity_lines": [ 187.520667, 215.479, 245.488929, 262.728183 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 169.68, "volume": 6728317, "typical_volume": 4146691.25, "trend": 275.8705, "fair_value": 267.043045, "relative_strength": -48.841, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.468023, "energy": 92.798012, "activity_lines": [ 178.915, 203.148182, 236.170381, 255.605527 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 155.7, "volume": 5571071, "typical_volume": 4272174.15, "trend": 271.248833, "fair_value": 266.605481, "relative_strength": -50.991893, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.531447, "energy": 84.864581, "activity_lines": [ 169.356, 190.257182, 226.226881, 247.852591 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 159.49, "volume": 5419152, "typical_volume": 4390137.95, "trend": 266.992833, "fair_value": 266.142212, "relative_strength": -49.38996, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.548314, "energy": 78.002061, "activity_lines": [ 164.354, 180.513273, 217.468429, 240.642344 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 145.51, "volume": 8431521, "typical_volume": 4673111.25, "trend": 262.497833, "fair_value": 265.481442, "relative_strength": -54.150243, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.29369, "energy": 72.655676, "activity_lines": [ 156.259333, 170.496455, 208.191595, 232.804742 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 132.38, "volume": 8380387, "typical_volume": 4884367.95, "trend": 256.6075, "fair_value": 264.738173, "relative_strength": -57.896452, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.343211, "energy": 73.628223, "activity_lines": [ 146.899333, 160.547273, 198.404857, 224.410043 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 144.73, "volume": 7765759, "typical_volume": 5139862.15, "trend": 251.092833, "fair_value": 264.067276, "relative_strength": -52.131168, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.927192, "energy": 67.329862, "activity_lines": [ 144.292, 155.221, 190.462167, 217.19214 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 133.43, "volume": 5847693, "typical_volume": 5301595.35, "trend": 244.9085, "fair_value": 263.497917, "relative_strength": -54.13459, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.270631, "energy": 69.21936, "activity_lines": [ 139.581333, 149.304727, 182.092333, 209.600989 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 162.58, "volume": 7397389, "typical_volume": 5525178.95, "trend": 239.737167, "fair_value": 262.892596, "relative_strength": -46.606706, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.852551, "energy": 63.096004, "activity_lines": [ 146.072, 149.991636, 177.211357, 204.289473 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 155.1, "volume": 5547960, "typical_volume": 5700363.85, "trend": 234.279833, "fair_value": 262.245801, "relative_strength": -49.781479, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.677093, "energy": 54.928711, "activity_lines": [ 149.863333, 149.689818, 172.198571, 198.829011 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 174.06, "volume": 11027372, "typical_volume": 6078503.2, "trend": 229.4385, "fair_value": 261.661314, "relative_strength": -43.975605, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.043209, "energy": 42.760469, "activity_lines": [ 159.335333, 153.509455, 169.623643, 194.94386 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 187.95, "volume": 4985437, "typical_volume": 6214061.4, "trend": 225.102167, "fair_value": 261.254071, "relative_strength": -39.248155, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.665604, "energy": 30.035379, "activity_lines": [ 170.658667, 159.815636, 168.915762, 192.267183 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 192.19, "volume": 4992018, "typical_volume": 6358686.1, "trend": 220.549833, "fair_value": 260.826571, "relative_strength": -37.081896, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.831167, "energy": 29.316579, "activity_lines": [ 180.514, 166.560545, 169.04369, 190.143817 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 194.66, "volume": 4048780, "typical_volume": 6436204.4, "trend": 216.030833, "fair_value": 260.542596, "relative_strength": -35.715843, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 1.315174, "energy": 25.555719, "activity_lines": [ 187.275333, 173.091091, 169.876857, 188.473505 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 206.97, "volume": 5572575, "typical_volume": 6625666.1, "trend": 212.8955, "fair_value": 260.326699, "relative_strength": -32.890192, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 14.924596, "energy": 34.43955, "activity_lines": [ 196.001333, 181.220364, 172.309167, 187.888935 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 216.18, "volume": 3707862, "typical_volume": 6687403.95, "trend": 211.013833, "fair_value": 260.063237, "relative_strength": -29.550404, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 21.301452, "energy": 40.043423, "activity_lines": [ 204.339333, 189.906727, 175.968905, 188.100839 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 216.98, "volume": 2319573, "typical_volume": 6341371.95, "trend": 208.878833, "fair_value": 259.815481, "relative_strength": -28.45592, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.240943, "energy": 62.26165, "activity_lines": [ 210.136, 197.214909, 179.928452, 188.485753 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 197.87, "volume": 3991795, "typical_volume": 6271053.6, "trend": 206.038167, "fair_value": 259.380353, "relative_strength": -31.598006, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.629423, "energy": 53.677034, "activity_lines": [ 207.627333, 199.734909, 182.107524, 187.775505 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 200.5, "volume": 5430123, "typical_volume": 6132202.5, "trend": 203.238167, "fair_value": 258.863045, "relative_strength": -31.764894, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.46711, "energy": 33.878367, "activity_lines": [ 205.616667, 201.561455, 184.571524, 187.418204 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 204.46, "volume": 2584674, "typical_volume": 5855655.35, "trend": 200.4585, "fair_value": 258.312788, "relative_strength": -31.30042, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.51411, "energy": 25.741079, "activity_lines": [ 204.536667, 203.418545, 187.329333, 187.497032 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 195.46, "volume": 3311209, "typical_volume": 5653033.35, "trend": 197.3625, "fair_value": 257.853045, "relative_strength": -33.814956, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 13.937986, "energy": 14.148354, "activity_lines": [ 200.624, 202.741818, 189.171524, 187.174548 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 194.02, "volume": 4352498, "typical_volume": 5534242.4, "trend": 194.540833, "fair_value": 257.294391, "relative_strength": -34.156686, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 11.027773, "energy": 12.131492, "activity_lines": [ 197.612667, 201.414182, 190.764476, 186.958903 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 192.55, "volume": 3295151, "typical_volume": 5420446.4, "trend": 191.262833, "fair_value": 256.671186, "relative_strength": -34.854512, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 7.203573, "energy": 12.267056, "activity_lines": [ 195.642, 199.708909, 192.101524, 186.830462 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 191.01, "volume": 3530056, "typical_volume": 5325991.6, "trend": 188.153833, "fair_value": 256.139006, "relative_strength": -33.368379, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 3.681718, "energy": 14.00257, "activity_lines": [ 193.512667, 197.717091, 193.116429, 186.814151 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 184.21, "volume": 4872831, "typical_volume": 5148057.1, "trend": 184.943167, "fair_value": 255.658942, "relative_strength": -35.548698, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.698657, "energy": 19.991254, "activity_lines": [ 189.749333, 194.555273, 193.333619, 186.55971 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 169.25, "volume": 8619126, "typical_volume": 5159994.05, "trend": 181.8135, "fair_value": 255.128494, "relative_strength": -40.940864, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -12.173001, "energy": 22.328966, "activity_lines": [ 182.349333, 189.087273, 191.941762, 185.547247 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 179.59, "volume": 4643153, "typical_volume": 5003863.75, "trend": 180.2905, "fair_value": 254.600994, "relative_strength": -35.290593, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.643113, "energy": 25.163811, "activity_lines": [ 180.143333, 186.352545, 191.359095, 185.403796 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 165.86, "volume": 3865140, "typical_volume": 4904736.1, "trend": 178.982333, "fair_value": 253.990929, "relative_strength": -38.34059, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.138897, "energy": 44.503953, "activity_lines": [ 174.322667, 181.801273, 189.30281, 184.472796 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 164.31, "volume": 4094729, "typical_volume": 4739603.1, "trend": 178.359333, "fair_value": 253.333942, "relative_strength": -39.507191, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.08093, "energy": 56.359948, "activity_lines": [ 169.764667, 177.550182, 186.944476, 183.526194 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 171.4, "volume": 3207023, "typical_volume": 4622556.25, "trend": 177.666667, "fair_value": 252.735096, "relative_strength": -35.303735, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.445618, "energy": 46.285778, "activity_lines": [ 169.35, 175.246182, 185.253143, 183.077204 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 165.0, "volume": 2750618, "typical_volume": 4208718.55, "trend": 177.436, "fair_value": 251.952212, "relative_strength": -35.915595, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.325258, "energy": 49.198786, "activity_lines": [ 167.656, 172.379636, 182.874667, 182.26 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 175.22, "volume": 4106185, "typical_volume": 4164755.95, "trend": 177.620667, "fair_value": 251.171571, "relative_strength": -30.209436, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.61425, "energy": 30.197012, "activity_lines": [ 169.652, 171.925091, 181.512667, 182.117032 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 166.25, "volume": 3596948, "typical_volume": 4095002.45, "trend": 177.972333, "fair_value": 250.343045, "relative_strength": -28.536529, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.149857, "energy": 27.673775, "activity_lines": [ 168.949333, 170.181455, 179.357, 181.383441 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 166.19, "volume": 3392011, "typical_volume": 4062164.0, "trend": 178.195667, "fair_value": 249.515929, "relative_strength": -29.812057, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.745093, "energy": 28.607095, "activity_lines": [ 168.200667, 168.905091, 177.319143, 180.62329 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 174.43, "volume": 3188173, "typical_volume": 3942943.9, "trend": 179.159667, "fair_value": 249.132853, "relative_strength": -25.460598, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.358668, "energy": 16.838077, "activity_lines": [ 170.073333, 169.578182, 176.201619, 180.380344 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 165.9, "volume": 7694463, "typical_volume": 4142273.95, "trend": 180.277, "fair_value": 248.706442, "relative_strength": -28.504311, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.268918, "energy": 29.381478, "activity_lines": [ 168.900667, 168.878182, 174.426667, 179.524882 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 187.27, "volume": 6861178, "typical_volume": 4369354.2, "trend": 181.695, "fair_value": 248.281763, "relative_strength": -19.596048, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.360833, "energy": 13.125002, "activity_lines": [ 174.791333, 172.124545, 174.926381, 179.976043 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 180.07, "volume": 3468114, "typical_volume": 4343170.15, "trend": 183.249667, "fair_value": 247.707404, "relative_strength": -22.593249, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.477394, "energy": 17.611681, "activity_lines": [ 177.478667, 173.922182, 174.881857, 179.871204 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 177.19, "volume": 3472659, "typical_volume": 4245296.95, "trend": 183.736667, "fair_value": 247.100673, "relative_strength": -21.403983, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.01508, "energy": 13.483473, "activity_lines": [ 178.284667, 174.937818, 174.64781, 179.480258 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 191.42, "volume": 3534673, "typical_volume": 4292796.9, "trend": 184.947333, "fair_value": 246.517147, "relative_strength": -16.07902, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 4.896783, "energy": 16.800371, "activity_lines": [ 183.100667, 178.306545, 175.88, 179.975957 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 200.45, "volume": 3616159, "typical_volume": 4308044.4, "trend": 185.827, "fair_value": 246.003686, "relative_strength": -13.886279, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.134127, "energy": 41.393032, "activity_lines": [ 189.794, 182.953091, 178.034286, 180.976129 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 204.1, "volume": 2746447, "typical_volume": 4227741.85, "trend": 186.365333, "fair_value": 245.527788, "relative_strength": -11.187095, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.417699, "energy": 54.141262, "activity_lines": [ 195.400667, 187.618727, 180.512429, 182.155032 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 201.8, "volume": 4583233, "typical_volume": 4292145.95, "trend": 186.685667, "fair_value": 245.017917, "relative_strength": -10.828292, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.378336, "energy": 56.724682, "activity_lines": [ 199.118667, 191.341091, 182.723524, 183.150817 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 196.9, "volume": 1778947, "typical_volume": 4204590.5, "trend": 186.760333, "fair_value": 244.480801, "relative_strength": -14.700895, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.275485, "energy": 54.099396, "activity_lines": [ 199.754667, 193.526182, 184.423905, 183.809806 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 201.98, "volume": 2606317, "typical_volume": 4091264.8, "trend": 186.594, "fair_value": 244.055481, "relative_strength": -10.921178, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.298859, "energy": 45.380838, "activity_lines": [ 200.77, 196.076545, 186.580048, 184.79172 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 195.03, "volume": 3342027, "typical_volume": 3827409.85, "trend": 185.889, "fair_value": 243.532917, "relative_strength": -9.101081, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.223277, "energy": 27.80027, "activity_lines": [ 198.764667, 196.862364, 187.989667, 185.335978 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 193.3, "volume": 3637453, "typical_volume": 3777124.85, "trend": 185.099667, "fair_value": 242.979135, "relative_strength": -6.245492, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.018998, "energy": 25.693386, "activity_lines": [ 196.544, 196.804, 189.111762, 185.814108 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 196.45, "volume": 3416600, "typical_volume": 3754697.85, "trend": 185.052333, "fair_value": 242.47234, "relative_strength": -0.519601, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.381119, "energy": 23.367061, "activity_lines": [ 196.093333, 197.208727, 190.468571, 186.546387 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 182.19, "volume": 5524495, "typical_volume": 3826186.15, "trend": 184.442, "fair_value": 241.796827, "relative_strength": -7.20949, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.60571, "energy": 15.642816, "activity_lines": [ 191.246, 194.722909, 190.321619, 186.36172 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 193.51, "volume": 3230230, "typical_volume": 3827346.5, "trend": 184.077, "fair_value": 241.144455, "relative_strength": -5.848952, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.810143, "energy": 17.194168, "activity_lines": [ 191.152667, 194.204364, 191.167619, 186.946753 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 185.04, "volume": 3487531, "typical_volume": 3864192.15, "trend": 183.729667, "fair_value": 240.439006, "relative_strength": -10.421646, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.744521, "energy": 14.632543, "activity_lines": [ 188.800667, 192.107818, 191.101667, 187.008882 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 202.77, "volume": 4208378, "typical_volume": 3869301.8, "trend": 184.021333, "fair_value": 239.799135, "relative_strength": -0.684823, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.495958, "energy": 18.227759, "activity_lines": [ 193.024667, 193.515091, 192.628857, 188.23729 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 214.75, "volume": 3500842, "typical_volume": 3864496.5, "trend": 184.761333, "fair_value": 239.275609, "relative_strength": 11.578173, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.086994, "energy": 41.229437, "activity_lines": [ 200.610667, 197.124727, 195.16581, 190.219785 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 233.87, "volume": 4321408, "typical_volume": 3910966.35, "trend": 186.19, "fair_value": 238.900096, "relative_strength": 14.53929, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.258827, "energy": 72.889335, "activity_lines": [ 213.35, 203.975273, 199.292762, 193.388086 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 236.58, "volume": 3864380, "typical_volume": 3944776.7, "trend": 187.935667, "fair_value": 238.562788, "relative_strength": 13.891145, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.812915, "energy": 82.895262, "activity_lines": [ 223.547333, 210.646364, 203.355524, 196.639054 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 232.03, "volume": 2771907, "typical_volume": 3698648.9, "trend": 190.028333, "fair_value": 238.221122, "relative_strength": 10.416516, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.369214, "energy": 81.446649, "activity_lines": [ 229.356667, 215.861091, 206.689, 199.483849 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 229.94, "volume": 2264177, "typical_volume": 3468798.85, "trend": 191.706667, "fair_value": 237.830224, "relative_strength": 8.953604, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.126322, "energy": 80.495179, "activity_lines": [ 231.336667, 220.023091, 209.508524, 202.058796 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 233.1, "volume": 1988841, "typical_volume": 3394835.2, "trend": 193.948, "fair_value": 237.398237, "relative_strength": 8.579984, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.262983, "energy": 75.401233, "activity_lines": [ 232.558667, 224.093455, 212.42581, 204.729333 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 236.59, "volume": 2142473, "typical_volume": 3328325.9, "trend": 196.357333, "fair_value": 236.964006, "relative_strength": 9.631088, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.887064, "energy": 61.335434, "activity_lines": [ 233.720667, 228.132, 215.422952, 207.48043 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 233.63, "volume": 2321212, "typical_volume": 3267652.85, "trend": 198.431667, "fair_value": 236.474327, "relative_strength": 7.681676, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.100899, "energy": 52.072352, "activity_lines": [ 233.714667, 230.643273, 217.855333, 209.885118 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 235.61, "volume": 2091019, "typical_volume": 3191395.85, "trend": 200.785333, "fair_value": 236.010288, "relative_strength": 10.167306, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.127067, "energy": 50.659326, "activity_lines": [ 234.565333, 232.785091, 220.275286, 212.28372 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 268.0, "volume": 4202943, "typical_volume": 3264220.65, "trend": 203.878, "fair_value": 235.709968, "relative_strength": 18.23966, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.557883, "energy": 69.377041, "activity_lines": [ 245.974, 239.896545, 225.612571, 216.620151 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 260.12, "volume": 3566122, "typical_volume": 3213365.1, "trend": 207.007, "fair_value": 235.447917, "relative_strength": 18.462681, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.472858, "energy": 73.415102, "activity_lines": [ 252.218667, 244.389273, 229.895095, 220.248667 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 262.93, "volume": 2830521, "typical_volume": 3265943.8, "trend": 210.231667, "fair_value": 235.23984, "relative_strength": 17.386016, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.421111, "energy": 82.819953, "activity_lines": [ 257.598667, 248.568, 234.167524, 223.856602 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 266.78, "volume": 1776882, "typical_volume": 3224472.05, "trend": 213.31, "fair_value": 235.262981, "relative_strength": 18.042897, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.435145, "energy": 88.635329, "activity_lines": [ 262.506, 252.918364, 238.49219, 227.504882 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 265.465, "volume": 2743195, "typical_volume": 3194530.45, "trend": 216.628833, "fair_value": 235.281859, "relative_strength": 13.704242, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.662231, "energy": 84.479463, "activity_lines": [ 264.765, 256.480545, 242.383048, 230.86972 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 269.34, "volume": 3066148, "typical_volume": 3165965.2, "trend": 219.3645, "fair_value": 235.324423, "relative_strength": 14.515211, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.429217, "energy": 82.528758, "activity_lines": [ 266.325333, 260.139364, 246.307548, 234.270441 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 266.57, "volume": 4149706, "typical_volume": 3202620.5, "trend": 222.247833, "fair_value": 235.281538, "relative_strength": 16.021756, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.914833, "energy": 63.804895, "activity_lines": [ 266.873, 262.578182, 249.606143, 237.315957 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 265.12, "volume": 1190748, "typical_volume": 2985933.15, "trend": 225.178833, "fair_value": 235.275449, "relative_strength": 14.474114, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.351936, "energy": 57.485777, "activity_lines": [ 266.507333, 264.144818, 252.432738, 240.081903 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 266.3, "volume": 1652600, "typical_volume": 2907051.65, "trend": 227.674833, "fair_value": 235.379423, "relative_strength": 15.806628, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.493184, "energy": 51.969931, "activity_lines": [ 266.389, 265.407273, 254.97681, 242.734882 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 271.83, "volume": 1970516, "typical_volume": 2831200.9, "trend": 230.054167, "fair_value": 235.56609, "relative_strength": 20.638564, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.913989, "energy": 51.942944, "activity_lines": [ 268.146, 267.081182, 257.700929, 245.583602 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 275.81, "volume": 2828886, "typical_volume": 2762226.3, "trend": 232.4445, "fair_value": 235.897308, "relative_strength": 18.78406, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.231914, "energy": 51.368004, "activity_lines": [ 270.805333, 268.820182, 260.39081, 248.535591 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 280.35, "volume": 2333829, "typical_volume": 2703875.65, "trend": 235.062833, "fair_value": 236.216282, "relative_strength": 18.605455, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.448297, "energy": 54.430564, "activity_lines": [ 274.546667, 271.242636, 263.165262, 251.626269 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 278.38, "volume": 2981279, "typical_volume": 2636869.2, "trend": 237.778833, "fair_value": 236.439936, "relative_strength": 19.026738, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.215356, "energy": 52.607615, "activity_lines": [ 276.712667, 272.939091, 265.439714, 254.420925 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 283.08, "volume": 2144830, "typical_volume": 2550891.7, "trend": 240.482167, "fair_value": 236.664423, "relative_strength": 20.382988, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.911268, "energy": 64.501097, "activity_lines": [ 279.561333, 275.209182, 267.949833, 257.343581 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 280.56, "volume": 2610531, "typical_volume": 2542822.9, "trend": 243.333167, "fair_value": 236.961731, "relative_strength": 15.563637, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.950285, "energy": 66.250529, "activity_lines": [ 280.451333, 276.724727, 269.998524, 259.929247 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 282.8, "volume": 3666566, "typical_volume": 2612942.35, "trend": 246.3165, "fair_value": 237.092692, "relative_strength": 18.58606, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.591771, "energy": 53.367534, "activity_lines": [ 281.506, 278.373091, 272.029452, 262.475495 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 272.27, "volume": 5353349, "typical_volume": 2781167.75, "trend": 248.843833, "fair_value": 237.160385, "relative_strength": 17.4286, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.452203, "energy": 41.524338, "activity_lines": [ 278.584667, 277.862182, 272.80581, 264.149914 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 251.81, "volume": 4299639, "typical_volume": 2889026.05, "trend": 251.1645, "fair_value": 237.343397, "relative_strength": 11.748078, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.560566, "energy": 12.003157, "activity_lines": [ 269.382, 273.527636, 271.447071, 264.34128 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 255.44, "volume": 5659995, "typical_volume": 3055965.2, "trend": 253.228833, "fair_value": 237.313974, "relative_strength": 15.50801, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.455641, "energy": 13.470846, "activity_lines": [ 263.160667, 270.095091, 270.361571, 264.617118 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 268.32, "volume": 4218587, "typical_volume": 3162343.6, "trend": 256.004833, "fair_value": 237.418974, "relative_strength": 20.091609, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.604697, "energy": 18.817753, "activity_lines": [ 263.075333, 269.201818, 270.398881, 265.590742 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 258.75, "volume": 3778066, "typical_volume": 3141099.75, "trend": 257.870833, "fair_value": 237.289038, "relative_strength": 17.778876, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.830943, "energy": 17.756172, "activity_lines": [ 260.616, 266.632364, 269.369, 265.767849 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 245.26, "volume": 4645796, "typical_volume": 3195083.45, "trend": 258.887833, "fair_value": 237.145641, "relative_strength": 22.834067, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.203207, "energy": 28.183182, "activity_lines": [ 255.263333, 261.920364, 267.098405, 264.954247 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 253.99, "volume": 5409704, "typical_volume": 3324042.6, "trend": 259.5585, "fair_value": 237.084679, "relative_strength": 17.573575, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.193877, "energy": 24.27123, "activity_lines": [ 254.621333, 259.433636, 265.73, 264.638258 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 246.8, "volume": 2436094, "typical_volume": 3357003.2, "trend": 259.899167, "fair_value": 237.068141, "relative_strength": 16.178974, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.171188, "energy": 34.750539, "activity_lines": [ 251.437333, 256.083091, 263.719405, 263.815129 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 260.71, "volume": 2538641, "typical_volume": 3346775.5, "trend": 260.855167, "fair_value": 237.207372, "relative_strength": 14.581359, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.184624, "energy": 21.65982, "activity_lines": [ 253.466, 255.921273, 263.128714, 263.867441 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 257.01, "volume": 4074817, "typical_volume": 3397208.95, "trend": 261.7575, "fair_value": 237.537115, "relative_strength": 8.662779, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.404622, "energy": 15.781983, "activity_lines": [ 254.768667, 255.447636, 262.208286, 263.619366 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 310.67, "volume": 6568152, "typical_volume": 3518131.25, "trend": 264.343167, "fair_value": 238.252564, "relative_strength": 30.240341, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.910509, "energy": 27.157732, "activity_lines": [ 274.074, 265.199273, 266.457048, 266.775011 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 324.75, "volume": 5338211, "typical_volume": 3725504.4, "trend": 267.281833, "fair_value": 239.060449, "relative_strength": 26.364849, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.143092, "energy": 62.609222, "activity_lines": [ 293.712, 276.812727, 271.836762, 270.672226 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 321.36, "volume": 3971009, "typical_volume": 3841424.85, "trend": 270.206167, "fair_value": 239.612692, "relative_strength": 26.892719, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.192303, "energy": 76.731291, "activity_lines": [ 307.502667, 286.483636, 276.609667, 274.16114 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 325.03, "volume": 3005757, "typical_volume": 3893186.9, "trend": 273.186833, "fair_value": 240.33359, "relative_strength": 24.788878, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.247594, "energy": 82.740544, "activity_lines": [ 317.546, 295.623273, 281.469905, 277.698161 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 311.77, "volume": 3946475, "typical_volume": 3949066.35, "trend": 274.645833, "fair_value": 240.914103, "relative_strength": 16.486721, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.913645, "energy": 79.837099, "activity_lines": [ 318.881333, 301.320909, 284.813952, 280.187398 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 304.63, "volume": 4421958, "typical_volume": 4053472.8, "trend": 276.1295, "fair_value": 241.579679, "relative_strength": 13.777159, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.069883, "energy": 70.707127, "activity_lines": [ 314.186, 304.756364, 287.306762, 282.12186 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 303.15, "volume": 3754790, "typical_volume": 4092148.35, "trend": 277.470167, "fair_value": 242.063141, "relative_strength": 12.622345, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.573517, "energy": 44.616173, "activity_lines": [ 309.4, 306.843273, 289.543, 283.865118 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 313.08, "volume": 4107325, "typical_volume": 4190273.1, "trend": 279.0135, "fair_value": 242.618397, "relative_strength": 11.05901, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.600038, "energy": 36.181233, "activity_lines": [ 309.364, 309.841818, 292.607, 286.162527 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 301.05, "volume": 3498638, "typical_volume": 4234678.45, "trend": 280.199667, "fair_value": 243.038526, "relative_strength": 4.67423, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.806679, "energy": 28.91679, "activity_lines": [ 305.87, 309.448, 294.382429, 287.584237 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 289.32, "volume": 2740343, "typical_volume": 4188367.3, "trend": 280.865667, "fair_value": 243.404167, "relative_strength": 0.545145, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.671604, "energy": 21.876136, "activity_lines": [ 300.064667, 306.188, 294.943143, 288.172645 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 284.23, "volume": 2435166, "typical_volume": 4042458.15, "trend": 281.454333, "fair_value": 243.68359, "relative_strength": -2.803701, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.08179, "energy": 19.427053, "activity_lines": [ 294.059333, 301.415091, 294.988048, 288.389699 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 290.22, "volume": 2671534, "typical_volume": 3961052.9, "trend": 282.291, "fair_value": 243.955513, "relative_strength": -1.98565, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.906362, "energy": 23.308569, "activity_lines": [ 291.410667, 298.212, 295.546476, 288.955226 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 284.91, "volume": 2519815, "typical_volume": 3804043.9, "trend": 282.911333, "fair_value": 244.07, "relative_strength": -1.876906, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.650304, "energy": 18.01737, "activity_lines": [ 287.854, 294.671273, 295.416286, 289.124194 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 307.1, "volume": 5351956, "typical_volume": 3860712.35, "trend": 284.087, "fair_value": 244.303333, "relative_strength": 1.484729, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.438496, "energy": 19.031142, "activity_lines": [ 293.572, 295.827818, 297.259095, 290.684753 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 321.27, "volume": 3634458, "typical_volume": 3853531.95, "trend": 285.602333, "fair_value": 244.648526, "relative_strength": 5.090907, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.400038, "energy": 33.881945, "activity_lines": [ 303.61, 299.886727, 300.266762, 293.083656 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 330.77, "volume": 2568916, "typical_volume": 3749687.95, "trend": 287.283, "fair_value": 245.056218, "relative_strength": 8.463293, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.931224, "energy": 71.070648, "activity_lines": [ 314.684667, 305.500182, 303.881476, 295.997699 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 339.88, "volume": 2500488, "typical_volume": 3604227.15, "trend": 289.333, "fair_value": 245.604487, "relative_strength": 11.085247, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.191914, "energy": 83.931262, "activity_lines": [ 325.693333, 312.294727, 307.956619, 299.391054 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 348.43, "volume": 2382253, "typical_volume": 3601535.1, "trend": 291.511333, "fair_value": 246.114231, "relative_strength": 12.263468, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.296248, "energy": 89.259214, "activity_lines": [ 336.241333, 319.976, 312.437048, 303.203763 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 341.78, "volume": 3020756, "typical_volume": 3625640.85, "trend": 293.552, "fair_value": 246.670513, "relative_strength": 7.793199, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.096626, "energy": 84.801456, "activity_lines": [ 340.338, 325.805455, 315.80019, 306.446903 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 330.84, "volume": 3969907, "typical_volume": 3620395.35, "trend": 295.153333, "fair_value": 247.290064, "relative_strength": 1.920086, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.010767, "energy": 71.728139, "activity_lines": [ 338.476, 328.905273, 317.735381, 308.852581 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 318.0, "volume": 2766305, "typical_volume": 3430303.0, "trend": 296.677667, "fair_value": 247.858013, "relative_strength": -1.782592, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.416886, "energy": 45.144998, "activity_lines": [ 331.696, 328.915636, 318.096143, 310.326559 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 309.115, "volume": 4000235, "typical_volume": 3363404.2, "trend": 298.587833, "fair_value": 248.318429, "relative_strength": -5.795133, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.476294, "energy": 21.809859, "activity_lines": [ 322.805667, 326.696545, 317.57581, 311.128968 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 314.52, "volume": 2593834, "typical_volume": 3294545.45, "trend": 300.557167, "fair_value": 248.917147, "relative_strength": -2.126127, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.025921, "energy": 21.938469, "activity_lines": [ 317.768, 325.116636, 317.64469, 312.156849 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 318.59, "volume": 2066119, "typical_volume": 3247563.55, "trend": 302.232833, "fair_value": 249.504263, "relative_strength": -3.38692, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.880908, "energy": 21.760452, "activity_lines": [ 316.347667, 323.738364, 318.133762, 313.320258 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 320.91, "volume": 2083972, "typical_volume": 3154438.4, "trend": 304.304833, "fair_value": 249.923237, "relative_strength": -4.913799, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.705559, "energy": 17.904536, "activity_lines": [ 317.246667, 322.573, 318.874452, 314.525237 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 313.01, "volume": 2225550, "typical_volume": 3044618.0, "trend": 306.563167, "fair_value": 249.923301, "relative_strength": -9.056535, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.528544, "energy": 12.46892, "activity_lines": [ 316.174333, 319.977818, 318.819238, 315.08686 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 319.82, "volume": 4269352, "typical_volume": 3070346.1, "trend": 308.7575, "fair_value": 250.090929, "relative_strength": -4.133728, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.628451, "energy": 7.864193, "activity_lines": [ 317.704667, 318.943727, 319.37269, 315.94214 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 332.7, "volume": 2584171, "typical_volume": 2994188.4, "trend": 311.620833, "fair_value": 250.329199, "relative_strength": -0.198276, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.57171, "energy": 20.649596, "activity_lines": [ 322.814667, 320.616182, 321.073429, 317.486817 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 331.17, "volume": 5389616, "typical_volume": 3088737.3, "trend": 313.9695, "fair_value": 250.569391, "relative_strength": 2.367315, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.783995, "energy": 21.804144, "activity_lines": [ 326.202667, 322.296455, 322.535024, 318.748054 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 327.19, "volume": 2900731, "typical_volume": 3096756.7, "trend": 316.308833, "fair_value": 250.692019, "relative_strength": -3.636139, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.99039, "energy": 26.507018, "activity_lines": [ 327.425333, 323.446, 323.474143, 319.600989 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 304.49, "volume": 3818488, "typical_volume": 3165922.8, "trend": 316.102833, "fair_value": 250.705929, "relative_strength": -11.152315, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.921671, "energy": 10.116089, "activity_lines": [ 320.662667, 320.534636, 322.071024, 318.838484 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 295.7, "volume": 3540074, "typical_volume": 3209349.8, "trend": 315.1345, "fair_value": 250.68484, "relative_strength": -11.961455, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.021839, "energy": 18.713033, "activity_lines": [ 311.538, 316.270727, 319.734286, 317.522172 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 289.62, "volume": 4387940, "typical_volume": 3302756.05, "trend": 314.0765, "fair_value": 250.669006, "relative_strength": -14.108124, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.0189, "energy": 40.720119, "activity_lines": [ 301.994667, 311.145273, 316.792405, 315.876075 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 288.63, "volume": 1812516, "typical_volume": 3125784.05, "trend": 312.863167, "fair_value": 250.632083, "relative_strength": -15.307924, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.870352, "energy": 55.83485, "activity_lines": [ 294.993333, 306.292545, 313.73381, 314.234366 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 282.92, "volume": 1647581, "typical_volume": 3026440.2, "trend": 311.9015, "fair_value": 250.571891, "relative_strength": -15.362298, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.105453, "energy": 64.438122, "activity_lines": [ 288.924667, 300.946364, 310.219357, 312.302548 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 289.04, "volume": 3676305, "typical_volume": 3081809.65, "trend": 311.381833, "fair_value": 250.463878, "relative_strength": -15.166806, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.340788, "energy": 68.708362, "activity_lines": [ 287.847333, 297.403636, 307.470381, 310.827613 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 287.7, "volume": 3482789, "typical_volume": 3130924.7, "trend": 310.866833, "fair_value": 250.421506, "relative_strength": -14.621568, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.770198, "energy": 60.658674, "activity_lines": [ 287.353333, 294.053091, 304.7925, 309.299753 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 271.6, "volume": 4503356, "typical_volume": 3236979.85, "trend": 309.484167, "fair_value": 250.332404, "relative_strength": -19.314252, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.826757, "energy": 62.593153, "activity_lines": [ 282.026, 288.359273, 300.829762, 306.766409 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 255.81, "volume": 6206482, "typical_volume": 3396266.15, "trend": 307.976167, "fair_value": 250.079968, "relative_strength": -23.56315, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.870733, "energy": 68.237827, "activity_lines": [ 272.636667, 280.905455, 295.729071, 303.303559 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 241.93, "volume": 5533360, "typical_volume": 3474438.8, "trend": 306.3965, "fair_value": 249.740865, "relative_strength": -25.871562, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.523913, "energy": 87.121535, "activity_lines": [ 260.808667, 272.298182, 289.715857, 299.042516 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 242.74, "volume": 4611355, "typical_volume": 3566691.3, "trend": 305.0135, "fair_value": 249.399455, "relative_strength": -24.340213, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.607305, "energy": 90.126492, "activity_lines": [ 251.983333, 265.388364, 284.203167, 294.935645 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 241.89, "volume": 6115567, "typical_volume": 3672457.9, "trend": 303.4025, "fair_value": 249.063173, "relative_strength": -25.071987, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.044982, "energy": 88.870365, "activity_lines": [ 245.961333, 259.446727, 278.967905, 290.863161 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 246.61, "volume": 5811613, "typical_volume": 3833346.85, "trend": 302.125833, "fair_value": 248.803173, "relative_strength": -23.049256, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.369447, "energy": 85.924762, "activity_lines": [ 244.566667, 255.341636, 274.502286, 287.199129 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 237.01, "volume": 5282489, "typical_volume": 3994165.35, "trend": 299.7895, "fair_value": 248.525288, "relative_strength": -24.787731, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.476586, "energy": 83.187783, "activity_lines": [ 241.638, 250.273091, 269.445762, 282.998108 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 219.84, "volume": 5702088, "typical_volume": 4175071.15, "trend": 296.4085, "fair_value": 247.953173, "relative_strength": -29.099869, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.112873, "energy": 76.554814, "activity_lines": [ 234.239333, 243.021273, 263.142476, 277.840075 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 227.1, "volume": 4695508, "typical_volume": 4298569.05, "trend": 292.952833, "fair_value": 247.420673, "relative_strength": -24.818823, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.491039, "energy": 66.363706, "activity_lines": [ 230.733333, 238.236364, 258.011905, 273.368559 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 208.22, "volume": 4289399, "typical_volume": 4299571.4, "trend": 288.564167, "fair_value": 246.710801, "relative_strength": -28.281773, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.83456, "energy": 71.23897, "activity_lines": [ 221.976667, 231.144909, 251.492333, 267.901925 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 204.31, "volume": 3600891, "typical_volume": 4350407.4, "trend": 283.760167, "fair_value": 245.983814, "relative_strength": -31.728395, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.274544, "energy": 75.118205, "activity_lines": [ 214.161333, 224.787636, 245.13181, 262.466172 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 196.93, "volume": 4392306, "typical_volume": 4300541.9, "trend": 278.931833, "fair_value": 245.202468, "relative_strength": -36.43208, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.97836, "energy": 81.591503, "activity_lines": [ 206.706, 218.312, 238.67981, 256.864226 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 203.73, "volume": 3811850, "typical_volume": 4346097.85, "trend": 274.694833, "fair_value": 244.461635, "relative_strength": -37.486619, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.437271, "energy": 76.726099, "activity_lines": [ 204.189333, 214.143273, 233.514667, 252.012495 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 189.56, "volume": 3969098, "typical_volume": 4353628.35, "trend": 270.4135, "fair_value": 243.638045, "relative_strength": -42.497644, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.711977, "energy": 81.88078, "activity_lines": [ 198.023333, 208.092727, 227.587905, 246.519925 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 175.04, "volume": 9684353, "typical_volume": 4660842.3, "trend": 265.944333, "fair_value": 242.65266, "relative_strength": -47.162593, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.391129, "energy": 79.855189, "activity_lines": [ 189.52, 200.369091, 220.825571, 240.366796 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 154.16, "volume": 11781630, "typical_volume": 5030526.8, "trend": 260.599, "fair_value": 241.524006, "relative_strength": -55.15036, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.020744, "energy": 84.871395, "activity_lines": [ 176.268667, 190.064545, 212.649238, 233.154903 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 147.46, "volume": 8009375, "typical_volume": 5340369.75, "trend": 254.894667, "fair_value": 240.539583, "relative_strength": -56.234173, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.714459, "energy": 92.10084, "activity_lines": [ 164.127333, 180.222727, 204.479857, 225.855613 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 154.87, "volume": 6063975, "typical_volume": 5561189.45, "trend": 249.36, "fair_value": 239.784712, "relative_strength": -53.805973, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.754752, "energy": 89.402012, "activity_lines": [ 157.754, 173.356364, 197.688429, 219.402409 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 144.94, "volume": 8567196, "typical_volume": 5805734.0, "trend": 243.757667, "fair_value": 238.91234, "relative_strength": -57.223231, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.257277, "energy": 90.477148, "activity_lines": [ 151.328, 165.865818, 190.561048, 212.665634 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 153.22, "volume": 7296478, "typical_volume": 5996418.45, "trend": 238.204333, "fair_value": 238.07984, "relative_strength": -51.894677, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.054202, "energy": 78.147728, "activity_lines": [ 150.636667, 161.374545, 184.908429, 206.824495 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 149.7, "volume": 7362099, "typical_volume": 6139355.6, "trend": 232.104333, "fair_value": 237.215737, "relative_strength": -53.319974, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.336288, "energy": 66.839929, "activity_lines": [ 150.226667, 157.243273, 179.560952, 201.114538 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 145.76, "volume": 6389899, "typical_volume": 6148526.45, "trend": 225.924, "fair_value": 236.304904, "relative_strength": -54.990487, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.650037, "energy": 67.254439, "activity_lines": [ 148.800667, 153.388545, 174.418714, 195.543935 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 158.25, "volume": 9731868, "typical_volume": 6358451.85, "trend": 220.292667, "fair_value": 235.470994, "relative_strength": -48.034032, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.187985, "energy": 61.506722, "activity_lines": [ 151.651333, 152.735091, 170.990048, 191.177871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 164.48, "volume": 5686781, "typical_volume": 6412223.15, "trend": 215.625667, "fair_value": 234.739006, "relative_strength": -45.69206, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.269441, "energy": 50.345845, "activity_lines": [ 156.353333, 154.041273, 168.55319, 187.577054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 161.28, "volume": 5076369, "typical_volume": 6360263.25, "trend": 211.145, "fair_value": 233.908173, "relative_strength": -46.972384, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.071746, "energy": 42.154177, "activity_lines": [ 158.686, 155.221636, 166.184238, 184.070882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 164.06, "volume": 7785864, "typical_volume": 6458975.8, "trend": 206.959667, "fair_value": 233.137532, "relative_strength": -43.00503, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.228467, "energy": 30.829716, "activity_lines": [ 161.408, 157.157636, 164.463905, 181.03314 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 163.26, "volume": 6463890, "typical_volume": 6518045.85, "trend": 202.780667, "fair_value": 232.385801, "relative_strength": -41.615084, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.245772, "energy": 25.563429, "activity_lines": [ 162.906, 158.768182, 163.060476, 178.213806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 165.35, "volume": 6067326, "typical_volume": 6536307.75, "trend": 198.861667, "fair_value": 231.758942, "relative_strength": -40.417139, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.543152, "energy": 23.79207, "activity_lines": [ 163.934, 160.471455, 162.207286, 175.798925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 141.17, "volume": 15175629, "typical_volume": 7060313.8, "trend": 193.932667, "fair_value": 231.219776, "relative_strength": -50.795064, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.27897, "energy": 41.364761, "activity_lines": [ 156.428667, 157.587818, 159.310714, 172.076882 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }