{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c1a81d1b-dab5-4139-81f0-dc7b076b8c0c", "symbol": "MSFT", "name": "Microsoft Corporation", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 62.357, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 55.529, "architecture_energy": 60.556, "architecture_maturity": 20.978, "architecture_confidence": 70.221, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.51, "rotation_up": 67.64, "upward_expansion": 52.69, "deceleration": 32.51, "rotation_down": 18.89, "downward_expansion": 20.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.182, 29.431818, 29.06661, 28.806934 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 34.98, "trend_reference": 28.855954, "distance_from_trend": 0.212228, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.411744, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.150214, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.796111, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.231977, "excess_performance": 0.111556, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.212228, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063722, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.150214, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.177719, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.027961, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.199283, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.231977, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.23481, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5386000, "relative_activity": 1.252973, "balance": 2.23481, "dry_up": 1.527785, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063978, "annualized_volatility": 0.427464, "from_high_reference": -0.109717, "from_low_reference": 0.39976 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.855954, "fair_value_reference": 30.411744, "structural_low": 24.99, "invalidation": 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"2026-07-10", "close": 27.07, "volume": 4538700, "typical_volume": 3582425.0, "trend": 29.342328, "fair_value": 30.250045, "relative_strength": -25.347398, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.762951, "energy": 57.856029, "activity_lines": [ 26.956667, 27.791981, 28.169709, 28.432995 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.629999, "volume": 4637700, "typical_volume": 3645475.0, "trend": 29.11611, "fair_value": 30.266908, "relative_strength": -22.91798, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.558445, "energy": 46.926134, "activity_lines": [ 27.187333, 27.649745, 28.121656, 28.322522 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.780001, "volume": 3152300, "typical_volume": 3632880.0, "trend": 28.853927, "fair_value": 30.280954, "relative_strength": -24.689174, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.994405, "energy": 32.787991, "activity_lines": [ 27.127333, 27.381455, 27.993887, 28.171805 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.540001, "volume": 13093200, "typical_volume": 4154775.0, "trend": 28.821574, "fair_value": 30.336869, "relative_strength": -7.29975, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.064135, "energy": 20.795346, "activity_lines": [ 28.962667, 28.212182, 28.425011, 28.409617 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.98, "volume": 5386000, "typical_volume": 4298575.0, "trend": 28.855954, "fair_value": 30.411744, "relative_strength": -2.796111, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 55.529153, "energy": 60.555735, "activity_lines": [ 31.182, 29.431818, 29.06661, 28.806934 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }