{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c1b1e7e6-ab3a-4bda-b3ef-91123066a150",
    "symbol": "AIV",
    "name": "ActivEX Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 52.329,
    "architecture_energy": 49.369,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.619,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.203,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.52,
        "rotation_up": 61.53,
        "upward_expansion": 83.1,
        "deceleration": 47.18,
        "rotation_down": 14.36,
        "downward_expansion": 12.1
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.0234,
        0.022491,
        0.021724,
        0.021245
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.023,
    "trend_reference": 0.021,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.095238,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.01342,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.713876,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 9.311595,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.045455,
    "excess_performance": -0.018251,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095238,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058824,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.713876,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.22141,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093116,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.120234,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045455,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.359996,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 410234,
      "relative_activity": 1.629113,
      "balance": 2.359996,
      "dry_up": 1.005337,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.173913,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.441622,
      "from_high_reference": -0.115385,
      "from_low_reference": 0.769231
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.021,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.01342,
      "structural_low": 0.013,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.04,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": -0.056767,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.285714,
        "worst_return": -0.333333,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.030252,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.058097,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.5,
        "worst_return": -0.454545,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.078571,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019168,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.555556,
        "worst_return": -0.623529,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.514286,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.552361,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.333333,
        "worst_return": -0.823529,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.181818,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.166667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.285714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.1,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.1,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.111111,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.25,
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.846154,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": -0.041667,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 115958.55,
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      },
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        "relative_strength": 23.501271,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -27.501469,
        "energy": 16.211538,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.019819
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 0.02,
        "volume": 288053,
        "typical_volume": 138824.6,
        "trend": 0.0199,
        "fair_value": 0.013401,
        "relative_strength": 21.335024,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 12.926919,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0194,
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          0.019826
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 1118092,
        "typical_volume": 194708.05,
        "trend": 0.019867,
        "fair_value": 0.013401,
        "relative_strength": 32.747069,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.544112,
        "energy": 18.368582,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 623105,
        "typical_volume": 200424.25,
        "trend": 0.0198,
        "fair_value": 0.013369,
        "relative_strength": 18.425009,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 8.464087,
        "energy": 15.446272,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.020333,
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          0.01997
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 324519,
        "typical_volume": 213703.85,
        "trend": 0.019833,
        "fair_value": 0.013349,
        "relative_strength": 26.891246,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 36.38277,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.021067,
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          0.020105,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 0.025,
        "volume": 906697,
        "typical_volume": 259034.15,
        "trend": 0.020033,
        "fair_value": 0.013349,
        "relative_strength": 42.939498,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.681542,
        "energy": 72.529166,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 0.023,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 225362.0,
        "trend": 0.0202,
        "fair_value": 0.013317,
        "relative_strength": 26.539453,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 63.239597,
        "energy": 67.672926,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 80000,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -25.187758,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 170216,
        "typical_volume": 208227.6,
        "trend": 0.020133,
        "fair_value": 0.013317,
        "relative_strength": 29.406345,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.46491,
        "energy": 18.935028,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.020867,
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          0.0204,
          0.020432
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 32858,
        "typical_volume": 209327.85,
        "trend": 0.0204,
        "fair_value": 0.013343,
        "relative_strength": 26.056435,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 23.761806,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.021733,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.017,
        "volume": 209512,
        "typical_volume": 219803.45,
        "trend": 0.020367,
        "fair_value": 0.013324,
        "relative_strength": -11.204858,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -17.890076,
        "energy": 15.450995,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.020133,
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          0.020429,
          0.020462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.022,
        "volume": 385708,
        "typical_volume": 234864.6,
        "trend": 0.0206,
        "fair_value": 0.013337,
        "relative_strength": 13.327131,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.507232,
        "energy": 9.404426,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.020733,
          0.020982,
          0.020605,
          0.020568
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.025,
        "volume": 216691,
        "typical_volume": 243079.85,
        "trend": 0.020933,
        "fair_value": 0.013369,
        "relative_strength": 28.210929,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.982895,
        "energy": 27.847462,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0224,
          0.021673,
          0.021067,
          0.020852
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.025,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 231372.0,
        "trend": 0.020967,
        "fair_value": 0.013401,
        "relative_strength": 23.547367,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.964483,
        "energy": 40.538363,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.023267,
          0.022309,
          0.021505,
          0.021114
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.023,
        "volume": 410234,
        "typical_volume": 251814.4,
        "trend": 0.021,
        "fair_value": 0.01342,
        "relative_strength": 9.311595,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.328692,
        "energy": 49.368673,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0234,
          0.022491,
          0.021724,
          0.021245
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}