{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c1c71da5-64e7-4315-9a54-f03da300b6c3", "symbol": "SVT", "name": "Sun Vending Technology Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.244, "architecture_energy": 36.267, "architecture_maturity": 18.417, "architecture_confidence": 69.335, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.06, "rotation_up": 52.42, "upward_expansion": 77.31, "deceleration": 58.38, "rotation_down": 19.66, "downward_expansion": 3.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.325333, 1.321818, 1.290857, 1.279894 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.33, "trend_reference": 1.269012, "distance_from_trend": 0.048059, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.474741, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.098147, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.225375, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.054316, "excess_performance": -0.138009, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.048059, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027705, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.098147, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.147259, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.092254, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077789, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.054316, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.307248, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1452100, "relative_activity": 0.744749, "balance": 1.307248, "dry_up": 0.792549, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046848, "annualized_volatility": 0.260048, "from_high_reference": -0.091346, "from_low_reference": 0.22226 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.269012, "fair_value_reference": 1.474741, "structural_low": 1.14, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.075855, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.037518, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.007576, "worst_return": -0.121621, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.187613, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.129922, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.141892, "worst_return": -0.233333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.226224, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.178307, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.129938, "worst_return": -0.322511, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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1.275455, 1.257085, 1.256804 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 1.32, "volume": 658900, "typical_volume": 2117595.0, "trend": 1.257654, "fair_value": 1.504416, "relative_strength": -11.411427, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.270261, "energy": 66.223811, "activity_lines": [ 1.321333, 1.288364, 1.262795, 1.261014 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.29, "volume": 3904300, "typical_volume": 2122110.0, "trend": 1.258926, "fair_value": 1.498852, "relative_strength": -13.643344, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.495604, "energy": 59.40778, "activity_lines": [ 1.314667, 1.293818, 1.2656, 1.263101 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.33, "volume": 1516600, "typical_volume": 2003745.0, "trend": 1.260568, "fair_value": 1.492957, "relative_strength": -11.690199, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.175485, "energy": 46.028771, "activity_lines": [ 1.32, 1.304727, 1.272536, 1.267686 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.32, "volume": 2578500, "typical_volume": 2037885.0, "trend": 1.263802, "fair_value": 1.486999, "relative_strength": -12.202947, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.990957, "energy": 33.511568, "activity_lines": [ 1.318, 1.311273, 1.278286, 1.271521 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.33, "volume": 634000, "typical_volume": 1906085.0, "trend": 1.266407, "fair_value": 1.48087, "relative_strength": -10.203773, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.493708, "energy": 33.952806, "activity_lines": [ 1.321333, 1.318, 1.284571, 1.275791 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.33, "volume": 1452100, "typical_volume": 1949785.0, "trend": 1.269012, "fair_value": 1.474741, "relative_strength": -9.225375, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.24378, "energy": 36.266983, "activity_lines": [ 1.325333, 1.321818, 1.290857, 1.279894 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }