{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c1e76874-e156-4d09-b116-80c89b2d278d", "symbol": "XDNA", "name": "iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare Index ETF CAD", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.397, "architecture_energy": 54.208, "architecture_maturity": 68.961, "architecture_confidence": 58.45, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.75, "rotation_up": 48.94, "upward_expansion": 75.77, "deceleration": 71.37, "rotation_down": 27.33, "downward_expansion": 13.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 47.994, 47.877662, 45.906541, 44.748964 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 48.619999, "trend_reference": 43.413282, "distance_from_trend": 0.119934, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.409533, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.412981, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.221809, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.211864, "excess_performance": 0.091443, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.119934, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073139, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.412981, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.161522, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.082218, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051123, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.211864, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.262806, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1300, "relative_activity": 0.389222, "balance": 0.262806, "dry_up": 2.260479, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039269, "annualized_volatility": 0.239141, "from_high_reference": -0.065898, "from_low_reference": 0.624543 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.413282, "fair_value_reference": 34.409533, "structural_low": 39.91, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.013394, "positive_rate": 0.631579, "directional_follow_through": 0.631579, "median_excess_return": 0.005446, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.093463, "worst_return": -0.036871, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.0534, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.005371, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.156221, "worst_return": -0.047752, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.06732, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.017317, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.242194, "worst_return": -0.030869, "sufficient": false }, { 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 48.939999, "volume": 12300, "typical_volume": 2220.0, "trend": 42.150815, "fair_value": 33.982466, "relative_strength": 13.890172, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.553734, "energy": 90.925456, "activity_lines": [ 48.466916, 46.172497, 44.309416, 43.412465 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 47.77, "volume": 11500, "typical_volume": 2710.0, "trend": 42.482549, "fair_value": 34.084622, "relative_strength": 10.877046, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.119206, "energy": 88.196379, "activity_lines": [ 48.66997, 46.759487, 44.740709, 43.774993 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47.27, "volume": 14700, "typical_volume": 3300.0, "trend": 42.798949, "fair_value": 34.182684, "relative_strength": 9.055073, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.289975, "energy": 84.408492, "activity_lines": [ 48.360666, 47.143696, 45.104955, 44.08386 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.630001, "volume": 2700, "typical_volume": 3320.0, "trend": 43.141949, "fair_value": 34.292141, "relative_strength": 9.915094, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.624572, "energy": 58.491247, "activity_lines": [ 47.996, 47.475524, 45.474867, 44.395541 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.619999, "volume": 1300, "typical_volume": 3340.0, "trend": 43.413282, "fair_value": 34.409533, "relative_strength": 8.221809, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.397112, "energy": 54.208236, "activity_lines": [ 47.994, 47.877662, 45.906541, 44.748964 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }