{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c1e80d49-c0d8-4b2d-8d41-313b4a2dc9db", "symbol": "000833", "name": "Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 51.376, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.939, "architecture_energy": 69.587, "architecture_maturity": 12.802, "architecture_confidence": 82.653, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.04, "rotation_up": 10.84, "upward_expansion": 16.04, "deceleration": 37.39, "rotation_down": 69.18, "downward_expansion": 89.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.635999, 20.641818, 22.40967, 23.101557 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 20.219999, "trend_reference": 23.376439, "distance_from_trend": -0.135027, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.100433, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.671015, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.511896, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.013243, "excess_performance": -0.020642, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.135027, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031891, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.671015, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.771055, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.025119, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.266082, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.013243, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.690629, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 102761088, "relative_activity": 0.644071, "balance": 0.690629, "dry_up": 0.746608, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.13695, "annualized_volatility": 0.742124, "from_high_reference": -0.357612, "from_low_reference": 0.712314 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.376439, "fair_value_reference": 12.100433, "structural_low": 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"stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.7979, "energy": 50.456194, "activity_lines": [ 20.468, 21.509679, 23.256536, 23.586097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.959999, "volume": 98276737, "typical_volume": 168244996.6, "trend": 23.346122, "fair_value": 12.010643, "relative_strength": -3.244696, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.772611, "energy": 71.832573, "activity_lines": [ 19.675333, 20.901454, 22.752044, 23.303243 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.219999, "volume": 102761088, "typical_volume": 159549256.3, "trend": 23.376439, "fair_value": 12.100433, "relative_strength": -2.511896, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.939436, "energy": 69.587064, "activity_lines": [ 19.635999, 20.641818, 22.40967, 23.101557 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }