{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c1f06e64-7f85-4d72-bc48-04e1e25ca68a", "symbol": "ENTRA", "name": "Entra ASA", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 64.552, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -9.52, "architecture_energy": 7.278, "architecture_maturity": 14.116, "architecture_confidence": 54.095, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.58, "rotation_up": 30.53, "upward_expansion": 33.5, "deceleration": 40.33, "rotation_down": 26.91, "downward_expansion": 44.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 105.399998, 105.083635, 104.722631, 105.412751 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 106.199997, "trend_reference": 106.953695, "distance_from_trend": -0.007047, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 111.651763, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.048828, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.687719, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.055412, "excess_performance": -0.180406, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.007047, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019158, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.048828, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010563, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.146877, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069398, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.055412, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.509273, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 201752, "relative_activity": 0.694358, "balance": 0.509273, "dry_up": 0.665663, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035347, "annualized_volatility": 0.15941, "from_high_reference": -0.166808, "from_low_reference": 0.060328 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 106.953695, "fair_value_reference": 111.651763, "structural_low": 100.157677, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.018069, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.357143, "median_excess_return": -0.034319, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.141777, "worst_return": -0.086691, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.044424, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.048267, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.1883, "worst_return": -0.090566, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.027706, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.099675, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.186023, 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393606.8, "trend": 107.811917, "fair_value": 111.390354, "relative_strength": -15.76949, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.906253, "energy": 18.441355, "activity_lines": [ 104.746665, 104.218181, 104.602485, 105.955602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 105.0, "volume": 266104, "typical_volume": 378002.8, "trend": 107.584045, "fair_value": 111.451262, "relative_strength": -14.765459, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.072213, "energy": 16.917331, "activity_lines": [ 104.919999, 104.396363, 104.542337, 105.774188 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 104.0, "volume": 187431, "typical_volume": 367097.4, "trend": 107.296448, "fair_value": 111.50199, "relative_strength": -16.991477, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.100988, "energy": 15.56333, "activity_lines": [ 104.666666, 104.381817, 104.434585, 105.542959 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 106.199997, "volume": 118370, "typical_volume": 336629.7, "trend": 107.121773, "fair_value": 111.585676, "relative_strength": -15.032133, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.660003, "energy": 8.746098, "activity_lines": [ 105.053332, 104.745453, 104.572729, 105.47222 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 106.199997, "volume": 201752, "typical_volume": 290558.95, "trend": 106.953695, "fair_value": 111.651763, "relative_strength": -14.687719, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.519774, "energy": 7.278079, "activity_lines": [ 105.399998, 105.083635, 104.722631, 105.412751 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }