{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c1f5da4d-0fb1-429d-8d4b-3d4049f8c799",
    "symbol": "NACP",
    "name": "TIDAL TRUST III NAACP MINORITY EMPOWERMENT ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 59.014,
    "architecture_energy": 39.814,
    "architecture_maturity": 67.402,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.062,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.23,
        "rotation_up": 37.56,
        "upward_expansion": 60.94,
        "deceleration": 88.26,
        "rotation_down": 27.57,
        "downward_expansion": 22.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        58.97878,
        59.056902,
        58.248219,
        56.538996
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 60.2557,
    "trend_reference": 54.528829,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.105025,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 42.254744,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.42601,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 4.10493,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.179288,
    "excess_performance": 0.053663,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105025,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062275,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.42601,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006926,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041049,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.0247,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.179288,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.542683,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 31156,
      "relative_activity": 2.123269,
      "balance": 1.542683,
      "dry_up": 0.844765,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031348,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.162372,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008991,
      "from_low_reference": 0.373485
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 54.528829,
      "fair_value_reference": 42.254744,
      "structural_low": 46.9615,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.013448,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001094,
        "regime_survival": 0.222222,
        "best_return": 0.103514,
        "worst_return": -0.062291,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.053581,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001321,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.167657,
        "worst_return": -0.074243,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.092869,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006873,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.155659,
        "worst_return": 0.017208,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.151472,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010153,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.256736,
        "worst_return": -0.183171,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.094013,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.048133,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.043344,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.012377,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.056298,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.136623,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016603,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.042264,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.161468,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.04295,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.042486,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017004,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.054846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.032918,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "typical_volume": 13570.7,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 9.841014,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 14173.4,
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        "fair_value": 41.35428,
        "relative_strength": 7.482143,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 14478.75,
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        "fair_value": 41.542769,
        "relative_strength": 7.347897,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 58.3933,
        "volume": 5127,
        "typical_volume": 14104.6,
        "trend": 53.699873,
        "fair_value": 41.718689,
        "relative_strength": 5.621421,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.653443,
        "energy": 56.976747,
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          55.608547
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 57.7074,
        "volume": 5010,
        "typical_volume": 13748.7,
        "trend": 53.948878,
        "fair_value": 41.886393,
        "relative_strength": 4.782464,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.143762,
        "energy": 44.075646,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 58.3354,
        "volume": 8290,
        "typical_volume": 13295.7,
        "trend": 54.227793,
        "fair_value": 42.06342,
        "relative_strength": 4.545957,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.445116,
        "energy": 35.452932,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.48486,
          58.818064,
          57.838394,
          56.150099
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 60.2557,
        "volume": 31156,
        "typical_volume": 14673.6,
        "trend": 54.528829,
        "fair_value": 42.254744,
        "relative_strength": 4.10493,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.01419,
        "energy": 39.813986,
        "activity_lines": [
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          56.538996
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}