{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c20d24dc-8171-4b41-b7e5-d6f8b19bd5eb", "symbol": "IMDX", "name": "Insight Molecular Diagnostics Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.96, "architecture_energy": 26.726, "architecture_maturity": 19.761, "architecture_confidence": 74.853, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.43, "rotation_up": 11.38, "upward_expansion": 10.36, "deceleration": 51.69, "rotation_down": 59.0, "downward_expansion": 69.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.768667, 4.996545, 5.107619, 5.051538 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.83, "trend_reference": 5.204833, "distance_from_trend": -0.072016, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.659833, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.319732, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.372456, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.340164, "excess_performance": -0.527618, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.072016, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066844, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.319732, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086083, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.163725, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104682, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.340164, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.710915, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 780212, "relative_activity": 0.510478, "balance": 0.710915, "dry_up": 0.528, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.22318, "annualized_volatility": 0.878721, "from_high_reference": -0.432432, "from_low_reference": 1.072961 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.204833, "fair_value_reference": 3.659833, "structural_low": 2.42, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.048657, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.060267, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.133898, "worst_return": -0.143357, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.056268, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.145754, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.162264, "worst_return": -0.303571, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.197212, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.337549, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.967925, "worst_return": -0.638393, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.580597, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.213424, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.323475, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.251344, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.224044, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", 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"close": 5.08, "volume": 1351983, "typical_volume": 1471478.45, "trend": 5.452167, "fair_value": 3.641474, "relative_strength": -10.660969, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.891428, "energy": 5.718935, "activity_lines": [ 5.403333, 5.537091, 5.163952, 5.218591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.74, "volume": 1489648, "typical_volume": 1523180.2, "trend": 5.429833, "fair_value": 3.643871, "relative_strength": -13.38404, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.395092, "energy": 17.853609, "activity_lines": [ 5.165333, 5.376545, 5.143333, 5.172645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.74, "volume": 490345, "typical_volume": 1519815.9, "trend": 5.3755, "fair_value": 3.64682, "relative_strength": -12.367518, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.21536, "energy": 17.96563, "activity_lines": [ 4.985333, 5.220909, 5.128762, 5.12814 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.65, "volume": 467762, "typical_volume": 1524713.75, "trend": 5.291833, "fair_value": 3.651243, "relative_strength": -14.939908, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.892326, "energy": 26.715445, "activity_lines": [ 4.822, 5.079273, 5.109, 5.081333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.83, "volume": 780212, "typical_volume": 1528394.35, "trend": 5.204833, "fair_value": 3.659833, "relative_strength": -16.372456, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.96023, "energy": 26.725675, "activity_lines": [ 4.768667, 4.996545, 5.107619, 5.051538 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }