{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c219ee51-0de5-4cd2-b05a-5db5bbd57067", "symbol": "XFLX", "name": "FUNDX INVT TR FLEXIBLE ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.986, "architecture_energy": 34.102, "architecture_maturity": 23.699, "architecture_confidence": 68.149, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.04, "rotation_up": 41.48, "upward_expansion": 70.13, "deceleration": 87.64, "rotation_down": 26.33, "downward_expansion": 8.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.65686, 22.656124, 22.625305, 22.577349 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 22.7418, "trend_reference": 22.538337, "distance_from_trend": 0.009027, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.765476, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.044857, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.69713, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.009401, "excess_performance": -0.116224, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.009027, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004707, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs 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"median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.018248, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.007175, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.013527, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.000616, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.006601, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.005926, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.020845, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.001568, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.002207, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ 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}, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 22.6597, "volume": 917, "typical_volume": 19323.1, "trend": 22.517543, "fair_value": 21.747369, "relative_strength": -7.21685, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.531832, "energy": 50.877134, "activity_lines": [ 22.670453, 22.650735, 22.590513, 22.554569 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.5701, "volume": 273, "typical_volume": 18893.5, "trend": 22.522133, "fair_value": 21.753004, "relative_strength": -6.810413, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.569157, "energy": 27.739012, "activity_lines": [ 22.63686, 22.641585, 22.596494, 22.55796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.61, "volume": 4622, "typical_volume": 19014.6, "trend": 22.529133, "fair_value": 21.758834, "relative_strength": -7.365681, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.609928, "energy": 21.532341, "activity_lines": [ 22.62256, 22.637509, 22.60564, 22.563629 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.7418, "volume": 1166, "typical_volume": 18797.55, "trend": 22.538337, "fair_value": 21.765476, "relative_strength": -9.69713, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.985639, "energy": 34.10203, "activity_lines": [ 22.65686, 22.656124, 22.625305, 22.577349 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }